Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ There is a tremendous amount of top calling today. This is important, but first a recap for context. My risk system fired the alarm bell on February 21, this was well shared. This was the sole reason for outperformance through Q1. In April I shared thoughts of sentiment (Fear & Greed Index read 3!) and positioning being simultaneously depressed. This combination did well again to mark a local bottom. This was a good trade. (The market rallied another 5%. Happy to have caught 2/3 of the rally)Most recently for me however is a misstep taking a short sided traded last week. This was quickly cut on Monday. Many more of these will happen, the objective is to limit the number of missteps per year. There is a lot to review this we
.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm

BULL, CELH, ETSY& IWM Enjoy Great Potential Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some tradnig analysis with you!1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2506(RTYmain)$ Small caps red on the day, yet the Williams % Range is ticking up. Something tells me the government has something up their sleeve for this little interest rate issue we are having.Image2. $Etsy(ETSY)$ Nearing a bull flag breakout of the volume shelf.Image3. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ Anyone remember what happened when $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ had the Williams % Range ticking up while the stock price was down big last week?ImageWell
BULL, CELH, ETSY& IWM Enjoy Great Potential Here!

Gold Prices are Expected to Continue to Maintain Upward Demand

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with u!1.Technicals:Gold prices rose for a third consecutive session on Wednesday, with the price recording higher highs and higher lows for several consecutive days as buyers eye key resistance levels. As described by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), momentum suggests that the uptrend will continue until the RSI reaches overbought territory.The first resistance level for the gold price will be the psychological level of $3,350. Once that level is breached, the next target will be $3,400, followed by the May 7 high of $3,438 and an eventual test of the all-time high of 3,500.For a bearish reversal to occur, gold shorts would have to drag the price of gold below $3,300. Once this level is effectively broken, short-term support
Gold Prices are Expected to Continue to Maintain Upward Demand

Trading Ideas| How to Invest?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ (1) what a nuts-top we have there--a GOLDEN ONE, tbh, if you are a bear. (2) Ever since the NUTS top, when the herd rushed to buy the dip, the rug was gradually, then suddenly, pulled. (3) what then? Image2.Sub-5800!If you think today's crashy wave is scary, well, wait until tmrw. My channel points at sub-5800 by the end of this week, so there is still 80+ points to go. Buckle up, as it is going to be bumpy ahead. Remember: Stairs up, Elevator down.Image3.All you amateur trolls REALLY think I am going to chicken out of this God-given opportunity to SHORT HEAVILY
Trading Ideas| How to Invest?

GOLD: Continue to Fall Sharply! The Market Turn to be Positive?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Continue to fall sharply! Partners have made a maximum profit of 200 points! The New York market is about to start, and gold will most likely fall below $3,200! 2.Gold's slide suddenly accelerated in the Asian market on Wednesday (14 May), with gold prices just dropping to $3228.66, hitting an intraday low ! In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the mildly bullish 200-period SMA is providing support around $3225.40, but at the same time, the 20-period SMA has accelerated to the downside after breaking below the flat 100-period SMA, in line with increased selling
GOLD: Continue to Fall Sharply! The Market Turn to be Positive?

.SPX: For Long-term Positions With NO STOP

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Out of MOST short-term puts with profits (near 5900). Now, this is a level BEAR has to hold, otherwise, the bulls will push to a higher level, for a better short-entry. So many setups and stops need to update, no time to tweet. GLTA.Image2."You've Got Balls" Award.The BIG short-entry last Friday [5925] was not perfect, but good enough to land some decent profits. Expect SPX to hit sub-5800 by Wedn., certainly by the end of week. Put stop around 5900 for short-term positions. For long-term positions, NO STOP.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission.
.SPX: For Long-term Positions With NO STOP

MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025

There’s a fundamental misunderstanding taking root on fintwit -- the idea that we’re just navigating a rough patch. That the Fed can thread the needle. That tariffs are temporary. That volatility is an overreaction.But the institutions that once stabilized markets aren’t stabilizing anything right now -- not because they lack tools, but because they no longer control the narrative. And in 2025, narrative is EVERYTHING.This isn’t about whether Powell gets replaced. It’s about the fact that it’s even on the table. The perception that the U.S. might politicize monetary policy -- even in theory -- is enough to distort capital flows. And perception doesn’t need confirmation to become consequence.That’s where we are. Not in a collapse. Not in a rally. In a credibility void -- and the tape reflec
MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025

10 Best S&P 500 Stocks!!

10 Best S&P 500 Stocks!!
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p
Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

GOLD: Wait for the Support

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Perfect TP!!!Watch for support around 3202-05 next! Patiently waiting for the next opportunity to opportunistically enter the market! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group t
GOLD: Wait for the Support

Here are 5 Recession-proof Stocks I Own

The United States is heading straight into a recession.Here are 5 recession-proof stocks I own: 🧵1. $American Express(AXP)$ American Express thrives both in inflation and in recession.Its commission-based model protects the downside in recession, as its user base is wealthier than that of Visa and Mastercard.It also thrives in inflation as the dollar value of its commissions grows as the basket totals grow.Currently fairly valued at $265, I would buy more if the forward P/E drops below 15, meaning below $230 will be a great entry point.Image2. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ Healthcare outperformed in all previous recessions.Despite all the negative sentiment around the company, it's the best healthcare business out th
Here are 5 Recession-proof Stocks I Own

.SPX: Will the Rebound Continue?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.Gap filled for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ not for $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ : (1) got this sequence wrong, as the rebound kept its strength till the end. (2) holding my 5/16 & 7/18 SPY puts entered at 5650 ystdy, and didn't add much. The 0dxt PUT play was stopped out, so went to bed earlier. (3) this is a Holy ridiculus show,Image2.Rebound normally stops on $Alphabet(GOOG)$ NEWS--if the market closes green, then that would be a record-setting feat, considering the worsening economic background and geo-political tensions on the horizon, it is a safe bet to go short with 1-week option+ Will buy 0dxt
.SPX: Will the Rebound Continue?

GOLD: Uncertainties Remain!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Monday opened with a short climb in gold! It touched a high near 3272.5! Currently the technical side of the pullback adjustment! VIP group of Asian market signals sell orders successfully profit! Congratulations! Note: In the short term, gold still has the risk of retracement! Asian markets continue to keep sell orders trading mainly! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ 2.Friday (May 2), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the much-anticipated April non-farm payrolls report, the data showed that the U.S. economy added 177,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 130,000, showing that the labou
GOLD: Uncertainties Remain!

GOLD: V-shape Shows the Market Recovery!

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ The market is really unexpected. After falling by $70, the US market can actually make a V-shaped reversal and rise by $100! The main reason is that large Wall Street institutions and large global major buyers are harvesting the market! Now the dense resistance is around 3240. If it breaks through smoothly, it will fill the gap left by the previous decline! Continue to stand above 3300! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of C
GOLD: V-shape Shows the Market Recovery!

MY OPEN LETTER TO A GENERATION LOCKED OUT OF OWNERSHIP

Why Peter Thiel Is Right -- And What Comes Next for Those Ready to BuildMillennials didn’t turn skeptical of capitalism because they lacked ambition, discipline, or resilience. They turned skeptical because the ladder they were told to climb wasn’t just missing a few rungs -- it had been pulled away altogether, replaced by a system that demanded belief without offering any real path to ownership. That’s not some bitter generational myth. It’s the foundational break that shaped every financial decision, every career plan, every entrepreneurial pivot made by Millennials since the GFC.We spent nearly two decades pretending that the old economic contract still existed -- that college degrees, corporate loyalty, and careful saving could still open the doors to upward mobility -- while the cost
MY OPEN LETTER TO A GENERATION LOCKED OUT OF OWNERSHIP

GOLD: Continue to Maintain the Downward Trend?

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical: From the market structure, since 3200 points to start the rising market, gold did not appear obvious pivot finishing, accumulated a strong pullback energy. H1 trend, the current adjustment is more likely to fall zigzag or rectangular oscillation in the form of the unfolding, rather than a strong breakthrough. The reason is 1: the weekly pressure level has not been effectively digested; 2: the market has not yet appeared new good drive. The probability of a pullback in the short term is much greater than the continuation of the unilateral upward trend.It is expected that after the opening of next Monday, gold will continue to maintai
GOLD: Continue to Maintain the Downward Trend?

.SPX: The Tariff Talks are the Tip!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.On the Air: (1) will be over the Pacific Ocean when the market opens; so, won't do much until noonish Monday. (2) feel fishy about the "deal", as the damage is done and the positive outcome has been priced in, largely. (3) will fade the pump when it hits the wall near 5750-60. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.To Subs: (1) new development from Swiss Talk altered the short-term roadmap; expect a gap-up to test 5760-70 zone, the DMA 200 &100 level resistance.(2) remember the normal high for the rebound phase would aim at 70% range, roughly 5760. Over it, bearish count needs revision.3.Lost control and prepare for impact. This is the weekly chart and some violent moves are inevitable, ver
.SPX: The Tariff Talks are the Tip!

.SPX: This Maybe the Wonderful Year for the System

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.On February 21 — the loss of trend, negative breadth and momentum signalled an “alarm” in my analysis. The S&P 500 declined 19.5% over the next month and a half. Then— sentiment and positioning made a good case for a local bottom, I posted about this case on April 18. Good timing because the market progressed through a historic rally thereafter. This has been a wonderful year for the system.2.Futures open in the 5650-5750 resistance range. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fireworks tomorrow either direction. News either propels price well above this range, or rejection sets the stage for a visit to the range traded near April lows.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a
.SPX: This Maybe the Wonderful Year for the System
avatarKYHBKO
03-31

Q1/2025 earnings starts - Preview of the week starting 31 Mar 2025

Public Holidays The USA have no public holidays in the coming week. Singapore is closed on 31 Mar 2025 as we celebrate Hari Raya Aidilfitri with our fellow Muslim citizens. Hari Raya Aidilfitri, also known as Eid, is a joyous festival in Singapore marking the end of Ramadan. Muslims engage in acts of compassion, fast from dawn to dusk, and worship during this holy month. On the day of Hari Raya, families don new clothes, visit the mosque for prayers, seek forgiveness from elders, and indulge in home-cooked feasts Hong Kong and China will be closed on 4 April 2025 for the Ching Ming Festival The history of the Ching Ming Festival, Hong Kong's tomb-sweeping holiday - Young Post | South China Morning Post The Ching Ming Festival, also known as Tomb Sweeping Day or Pure Brightness Festival, is
Q1/2025 earnings starts - Preview of the week starting 31 Mar 2025

.SPX: Powell PUTS

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: (1) Liberation Day Gap filled & ironed out now--once it is done, the real move should start. (2) the market is fragile and the broader geo-political environment is tense too. Expect some unexpected events.Image2.Powell PUTS: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) The fake pop-up on the Swiss meeting is almost gone now, as it should be. All with room-temperature IQ should know that is purely a diplomatic gesture. (2) Powell should throw cold water to the rally, break 5500 during the presser. (3) holding 5/16 & 7/18 puts.ImageTry this way to explore new method to gain more profit!Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit wit
.SPX: Powell PUTS
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