TACO Again?! Is Market Crash Over? Will April Trend Repeat?

Global capital markets are skyrocketing! Can we expect a massive rally following this dip, similar to what happened last April? Is the sell-off over, or is the war about to escalate further?

avatarTigerClub
03-25 19:14

🎁What the Tigers Say | Is the TACO Dip-Buying Regime Officially Over?

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋The market just hit a high-stakes pivot. On March 23, Donald Trump delayed military strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure by five days, citing "productive talks."Investors immediately reverted to the "TACO" script—buying dip across the board: 📉🚀Brent Crude: Plummeted 11%, crashing through the $100 psychological floor.$SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ : Reclaimed the $4,400 level, surging +$100 in minutes.Crypto: $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ hit $71,800 (+5%); $Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust(ETH)$ spiked to $2,200.Liquidations: $660 million wiped out across the crypto market in 24 hours.Equities:
🎁What the Tigers Say | Is the TACO Dip-Buying Regime Officially Over?
avatarJC888
03-25 09:39

Bet your bottom dollar on JPM & BAC ?

It Is True. Recent market intelligence from S&P Global and Nasdaq confirms the assertion that US bank stocks have faced significant downturn in 2026 is both mathematically and fundamentally sound. While the broader market attempted to "climb a wall of worry" early in the year, the banking sector has been the primary casualty of a rapidly shifting geopolitical and macroeconomic landscape. The Proof. US bank stocks (among America's largest institutions) have endured sharp year-to-date declines through 20 Mar 2026. It underscores the sector strains from credit pressures and geopolitical shocks and the $KBW Bank Index(BKX)$ is proof. (see below) On 02 Jan 2026, the Nasdaq Bank index opened at $167.06 /share. To date, BKX has fallen by -10.53% (as o
Bet your bottom dollar on JPM & BAC ?
avatarkoolgal
03-25 15:49
What is Ragnarok & How Does It Relate To Trump? 🌟🌟🌟In Norse mythology, Ragnarok is the "Twilight of the Gods" - a series of cataclysmic events, including a great winter and a final battle, that leads to the total destruction and eventual rebirth of the world. In modern finance, macro strategists like Michael Every from Rabobank use "Ragnarok" to describe the collapse of the old global economic order and the rise of "Trump's Grand Macro Strategy". How Ragnarok Relates to Trump  The Death of the Old Gods:  Just as Ragnarok  marks the end of the Norse deities, Trump's strategy represents the end of the Post War Order.  This is the rule based, globalised trade system governed  by institutions like World Trade Organisation.  To Trump, these old rules are the "d
avatarTiger_comments
03-25 00:26

Trade With Trump’s Rhythm: Is Stagflation Really Coming?

With Trump restarting “TACO”, coupled with rampant rumors that he might visit China in April, global financial markets have once again entered the absolute-dominance zone of the “US stock first principles: just follow Trump’s calls.” $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 1. Macro strategists’ “Ragnarok”: Trump becomes the only right one Remember those highly praised strategists at Deutsche Bank, Citi, Goldman, and Morgan Stanley? Now in the face of absolute power, technical analysis turns into mysticism. 100% bottom-fishing success rate: Trump tells you to buy, ignore the earnings report. 100% crude oil short success rate: Trump says oil is too high — even if the Middle East is on fire, the sh
Trade With Trump’s Rhythm: Is Stagflation Really Coming?
avatarCC on ETFs
03-24 17:04

Oil Price Swings Sharply — What Is the Market Betting On?

Oil prices saw significant volatility last night. During the US trading session on March 23, Brent crude fell sharply from around $113 to $96, marking a drop of more than 13% in a single day — one of the most dramatic moves in recent years. Prices then rebounded quickly and are now fluctuating around $102, with the market still facing high uncertainty. From the perspective of ETF performance, the sharp swings in oil prices led to clear divergence across related products. $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ , which tracks oil prices directly, fell 8.95% for the day, while $United States Brent Oil Fund LP(BNO)$ declined 9.52%. The 2x leveraged long oil ETF $ProShares Ultra B
Oil Price Swings Sharply — What Is the Market Betting On?
avatarkoolgal
03-24
TACO Again?  My 3 ETFs To Ride the Volatility 🌟🌟🌟The "Trump Always Chickens Out" or more popularly known as TACO narrative is driving the latest market swings.  On Monday March 23 2026, the Dow surged over 600 points in massive relief rally after President Trump claimed that productive talks with Iran were underway.  Even though Iran initially denied this, the market's desperate grab for any "off ramps" shows how much investors want to believe in a de-escalation pivot. Is the Market Crash Over? Technically we are in a correction, not a full blown crash even though the indices have dipped about 10% in March, hitting 10 months low before Monday's bounce. Analysts suggest we could see a total 15% fall before a true bottom is found.  However the risk on mood returning sugge
avatarLanceljx
03-24 20:39
1. Why markets suddenly rallied The rally you see now is not because the economy improved. It is because of temporary de-escalation hopes. Key points from the news: Markets rallied when military strikes were delayed Oil dropped temporarily Investors hoped war may de-escalate But the rally faded quickly because attacks continued Analysts say markets will remain volatile and on edge Overall conclusion from current news: > The rally is a relief rally, not a confirmed bull run. Markets are basically trading war headlines day by day now.  --- 2. Is this like last April rally? Not exactly. The macro environment is different. Last April rally environment Rate cuts expected Oil low Inflation falling Liquidity improving Bullish macro Now environment Oil above $100 Inflation rising again Rat
avatarkoolgal
03-26 07:05
🌟🌟🌟The TACO or Trump Always Chickens Out strategy is currently on life support.  While it previously turned every dip into a buying opportunity, recent market reversals suggest the "blink" investors expected may no longer be a sure bet. Tuesday's reversal: Markets initially surged on a 5 day strike delay but quickly faded as Iran denied any formal dialogue.  This causes an intraday reversal. Shift in Play:  Analysts warn that buying the dip is becoming riskier.  In fact some analysts suggesting a transition toward "selling the rally " as geopolitical tensions with Iran refuse to cool. Watching the TACO trade right now feels like waiting for a delivery that is hours late.  You want to believe the "chicken" is coming but the hunger (red candles) is getting real. Wi
avatarIF International
03-26 14:05
An interesting time to be sure. Similarities and consequential differences. Earlier tariff blunders that fuelled market turmoil were easy to address (thus creating the 'TACO' title) by way of backtracking, conceding and 'making deals'. This time things are not so simple. Things were already out of US control in the early days of this campaign. Although well known to the intelligence community, the impacts of Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz seem to have avoided the attention of the Commander in Chief. Backing out of this one not so simple, the possibility of ongoing impacts are real.  Iran holding the cards one.
avatarShyon
03-25 21:54
The “TACO” strategy isn’t dead, but it’s no longer easy money. The fast reversal shows liquidity is still there, but conviction is weak. With the Cboe Volatility Index $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ staying elevated, I’m shifting to a more tactical approach—selectively buying dips but taking profits quickly instead of chasing every move. On oil, I don’t see stability yet. As long as the Strait of Hormuz remains constrained, supply risk creates a strong floor. The $84–$100 range looks temporary, and if tensions persist after the 5-day window, I expect a quick push back toward $105–$110. Overall, I’m staying defensive. This feels like a shift from liquidity-driven rallies to macro-driven volatility. I’m treating rallies as short-term trades, not tre
avatarKYHBKO
03-23

The Gulf War - Fuel & Energy Rationing update (23Mar2026)

Several import-dependent countries, particularly in South Asia and Southeast Asia, have implemented fuel/energy rationing or strict conservation measures to cope with shortages, panic buying, hoarding, and soaring costs (oil often exceeding $100/barrel). These are not full nationwide blackouts like Cuba's but targeted restrictions on fuel sales, allocations, or usage to stretch limited supplies.Key countries that have started rationing or equivalent strict measures include: Bangladesh: Implemented fuel rationing (e.g., limits like 15 liters/week for motorists on petrol/diesel, higher for public transport; daily sales caps in some cases). Universities and classes have been closed or curtailed to save energy; restrictions tied to the war's impact on imports. Sri Lanka: Introduced fuel ration
The Gulf War - Fuel & Energy Rationing update (23Mar2026)
avatarKarbonie
03-26 05:57
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Volatility Should Persist Through March, with April Historical Strength Eyeing A Rebound. Energy and Staples Remain Favored Hedges

The current volatility in the S&P 500, which has seen the index pull back approximately 5% from its highs, aligns with historical "geopolitical shocks." While the Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude toward $112 a barrel, analysts generally view this as a standard, albeit sharp, correction rather than the start of a prolonged bear market. Market Outlook: Correction vs. Trend Historically, the S&P 500 experiences an average pullback of about 4.5% to 5% following major geopolitical events, with markets typically stabilizing within a month. Near-Term (End of March): Expect continued volatility. The VIX (Volatility Index) is currently in backwardation—a state where near-term fear is higher than long-term expectations. This suggests the market is
Volatility Should Persist Through March, with April Historical Strength Eyeing A Rebound. Energy and Staples Remain Favored Hedges
avatarAqa
03-26 00:43
The game of TACO is getting more complex and unpredictable. Iran has just ‘rubbished’ Trump’s peace talk claims and opened fire at the U.S. aircraft carriers. There is very high chance Trump will strike on Iran before the 5days wait. All the unresolved downside risks across all asset classes necessitate a defensive stance and readiness to exit as the volatile "April Trend" persists. Thanks for the invite buddy @1PC @TigerClub @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @icycrystal
avatarL.Lim
03-24
I am absolutely certain that the market is in for more pain, and if anyone has any semblance of logic, it is precisely because of TACO that more chaos is coming. Firstly, it has been clear that the us president has been pulling this move to prevent markets from huge crashes. From the beginning of the war, multiple claims ranging from "the war has been won" to "the war will end soon" has been made and still the war chugs on. And it ALWAYS gives a lift to stock prices. Oil prices would have spiked harder if not for all the false dawns. Secondly, as I have seen in reports, people have been placing very well-timed bets on various aspects of the war, whether it was for the old Iran leader's death, to oil prices, etc. If I was a betting man too, I would say it likely is insider trading with some
avatarkoolgal
03-25 05:09
🌟🌟Is Stagflation some kind of a horse?  No it is just a combo of high inflation + slow growth - the economic equivalent of being stuck in traffic while petrol price keeps rising. Thanks to Trump & the Iran war, oil has skyrocketed over USD 100, tariffs are back, hiring is slowing & consumers are feeling the pinch.  Trump's rhythm - unpredictable, loud & dramatic keeps markets on their toes. How should investors invest if the stag decides to visit? HALO: Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ - Pure play on utilities - electricity, water & gas.  These are the ultimate low obsolescence assets that people need in every economic cycle.  XLU is resilient in inflation, recession &
avatarTimothyX
03-25 17:22
Remember those highly praised strategists at Deutsche Bank, Citi, Goldman, and Morgan Stanley? Now in the face of absolute power, technical analysis turns into mysticism. 100% bottom-fishing success rate: Trump tells you to buy, ignore the earnings report. 100% crude oil short success rate: Trump says oil is too high — even if the Middle East is on fire, the shorts have to retreat. Middle East chaos: Even if the war worsens, if Trump says talks are coming, the market obeys.
avatarmoney来5207418
03-25 07:35
Trump's economic philosophy gains relevance amid stagflation risks. His protectionist, energy-independent "America-first" approach appears prescient as Middle East tensions push oil above $109, validating economic sovereignty during external shocks 3. Stagflation has materialized from theoretical risk. Energy price shocks, persistent inflation, and slowing activity create textbook conditions mirroring 1971-1973 and 1979-1981 oil crises 324. This environment favors defensive assets while punishing equities. The S&P 500 (SPY at $653.18) faces technical support versus fundamental deterioration. Testing critical $655.32 support with 25% short volume, capital outflows (-$166.58M), and stagflation risks suggest technical bounces may be temporary. The market needs sustained recovery above
avatar1PC
03-25 23:27
Don't trust the TACO 🌮 man.... Instead Trust your trade plans 💪. @Barcode @DiAngel @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @koolgal @Aqa @DiAngel @JC888
avatarTBI
03-22

[38] AMAT, EQIX, SBUX

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