Summary of “Money & Me” radio interview with Michelle Martin on MoneyFM89.3 Radio Station 1. The 2026 Outlook: A "Turning Point" Year The narrative for 2026 is one of recovery and transition. After two years of "restrictive" interest rates, the sector is entering what analysts call a two-year earnings upgrade cycle (2026–2027). 3 Key Turning Points Below: Rate Cut Impact: With the US Fed and domestic 3M SORA rates projected to settle around 1.2%–1.3% in 2026, the "cost-of-debt" drag is finally reversing. Dividend Uplift: Markets are forecasting low single digit uplift in DPU (Distribution Per Unit) as REITs replace maturing high-interest loans with cheaper financing. Price Potential: I anticipate a potential 10-15% price upside across the sector as yields normalize and the spread over
Rate Cuts Delayed to June? Pullback Coming, Would You Hedge?
December core CPI eased to 2.6% YoY, a four-year low and broadly in line or slightly better than expectations. Yet the report failed to ignite a risk-on rally. Rate markets are now highly aligned: no cut in January, unlikely in March, with June priced as the earliest window. More notably, professional investors are already hedging against a more extreme scenario—no rate cuts even in 2026. If soft CPI can’t lift markets, what data would actually shift rate-cut expectations? With June as the first priced cut, is the market still underestimating “higher for longer” risk?
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