Economic Preview: Key Data Releases for January 2026 (week of 19Jan2026) Martin Luther King Jr. Day In the coming week, the United States will observe Martin Luther King Jr. Day on Monday, January 19. As a result, it will be a public holiday, and financial markets in the U.S. will be closed in observance. Key Economic Releases in China On the same day, China is scheduled to release its year-on-year Gross Domestic Product (GDP) results for the fourth quarter. The forecast for this period stands at 4.4%, compared to the previous quarter’s figure of 4.8%. Monitoring these results will be important, as they may influence global market sentiment. Significant U.S. Events and Data Releases On January 21, attention will turn to the United States as President Trump is set to deliver a speech. This
Rate Cuts Delayed to June? Pullback Coming, Would You Hedge?
December core CPI eased to 2.6% YoY, a four-year low and broadly in line or slightly better than expectations. Yet the report failed to ignite a risk-on rally. Rate markets are now highly aligned: no cut in January, unlikely in March, with June priced as the earliest window. More notably, professional investors are already hedging against a more extreme scenario—no rate cuts even in 2026. If soft CPI can’t lift markets, what data would actually shift rate-cut expectations? With June as the first priced cut, is the market still underestimating “higher for longer” risk?
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