Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

GOLD: Wait for the Break Point!

1. $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold continues to fluctuate widely, the market fluctuates greatly, the price rises and falls as much as it falls during the day, all of which are influenced by fundamentals, and there is no technical aspect at all. The first resistance above is 3316, and the second resistance is 3325! If it successfully breaks through 3316, gold will continue to rise! However, the US market is likely to fluctuate downward! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:
GOLD: Wait for the Break Point!

SPY: What's Going on Next?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The primary outlook is a constructive advance towards new all-time highs in the S&P 500, risk-managed by the three core market signals: trend, breadth, and momentum. Unless all three risk-off criteria trigger simultaneously, this remains the guiding path.I never know when the next ā€œalarmā€ is going to be— this is the point when all three of my criteria flash risk-off. It could be as short as a few days or as long as half year between alarm bells. What I can control is how I respond when an alarm goes. It a simple rule, protect capital; either hedge long exposure, or raise cash— if it gets worse and odds begin to favour a larger decline vs just the need to hedge, it is then where taking short positions against SPY is a simple
SPY: What's Going on Next?

.SPX: Close Unchanged!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.TO SUBS: (1) The small "airplane" level at Mid-week update 30-min chart will most likely be touched tmrw by noon. (2) then, prepare for a large rebound, which will last till early next week. That lower level on the chart below the plane may not come this week. (3) hold puts now2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Close UNCHANGED: (1) You have to give credit when it is due--check out what I said earlier at the open--BIG SWING DAY, great for day-trading. (2) most importantly, SPX will close unchanged.--check the close. UNCHANGED. WTF. (3) I have a good feel of the market now. PATIENCE.Image3.OUT of most 5/23 & 5/29 SPY puts positions. Only have small 7/18 SPY puts. Wait for a rebound to short
.SPX: Close Unchanged!

.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ There is a tremendous amount of top calling today. This is important, but first a recap for context. My risk system fired the alarm bell on February 21, this was well shared. This was the sole reason for outperformance through Q1. In April I shared thoughts of sentiment (Fear & Greed Index read 3!) and positioning being simultaneously depressed. This combination did well again to mark a local bottom. This was a good trade. (The market rallied another 5%. Happy to have caught 2/3 of the rally)Most recently for me however is a misstep taking a short sided traded last week. This was quickly cut on Monday. Many more of these will happen, the objective is to limit the number of missteps per year. There is a lot to review this we
.SPX: Remain the Primary Outlook Until the Risk-off System Signals Another Alarm

GOLD: Continue to Enter Buying at 3303-05

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Good morning, yesterday's signals from the New York market hit a high of 3315 for a maximum profit of 250 pips! Gold is expected to continue to maintain its swing higher in the Asian markets today! Continue to enter buying at 3303-05, TP:3330ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commiss
GOLD: Continue to Enter Buying at 3303-05

EL: A Potential Breakout!

1.Victoria’s Secret turned a corner in 2022 šŸ¤”Image2.In a world where Ozempic and Wegovy are the path of least resistance, VSCO Victoria Secret will emerge a winner. šŸ¤” VSCO now trading 22.503. $Estee Lauder(EL)$ I don’t know what Michael Burry sees in Estee Lauder— I know I see a potential breakout. I am long EL stockImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.šŸ’°Join the TB Contra Telegram G
EL: A Potential Breakout!

Gold Prices are Expected to Continue to Maintain Upward Demand

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with u!1.Technicals:Gold prices rose for a third consecutive session on Wednesday, with the price recording higher highs and higher lows for several consecutive days as buyers eye key resistance levels. As described by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), momentum suggests that the uptrend will continue until the RSI reaches overbought territory.The first resistance level for the gold price will be the psychological level of $3,350. Once that level is breached, the next target will be $3,400, followed by the May 7 high of $3,438 and an eventual test of the all-time high of 3,500.For a bearish reversal to occur, gold shorts would have to drag the price of gold below $3,300. Once this level is effectively broken, short-term support
Gold Prices are Expected to Continue to Maintain Upward Demand

EL: Breakout Underway

Michael Burry’s lone holding $Estee Lauder(EL)$ is breaking out this morning. šŸ‘€ Like I said, I don’t know why he likes it— but I know I like the chart and it was well set up for a breakout. Breakout underway.For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.šŸ’°Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers NowšŸŽ‰šŸ’°CBA Mini Course 1: Wha
EL: Breakout Underway

BULL, CELH, ETSY& IWM Enjoy Great Potential Here!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some tradnig analysis with you!1. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $E-mini Russell 2000 - main 2506(RTYmain)$ Small caps red on the day, yet the Williams % Range is ticking up. Something tells me the government has something up their sleeve for this little interest rate issue we are having.Image2. $Etsy(ETSY)$ Nearing a bull flag breakout of the volume shelf.Image3. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ Anyone remember what happened when $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ had the Williams % Range ticking up while the stock price was down big last week?ImageWell
BULL, CELH, ETSY& IWM Enjoy Great Potential Here!

Trading Ideas| How to Invest?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ (1) what a nuts-top we have there--a GOLDEN ONE, tbh, if you are a bear. (2) Ever since the NUTS top, when the herd rushed to buy the dip, the rug was gradually, then suddenly, pulled. (3) what then? Image2.Sub-5800!If you think today's crashy wave is scary, well, wait until tmrw. My channel points at sub-5800 by the end of this week, so there is still 80+ points to go. Buckle up, as it is going to be bumpy ahead. Remember: Stairs up, Elevator down.Image3.All you amateur trolls REALLY think I am going to chicken out of this God-given opportunity to SHORT HEAVILY
Trading Ideas| How to Invest?

SPY: Maybe A Good Chance for Puts

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1.5/30 $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Puts: (1) got this move wrong--as in Trump era, short-term TA is no match for flip-flops from White House. (2) 5/30 SPY 580 puts will be under water at open--will keep them till Fri. (3) flew to Canada ystdy, will golf & fish for next 2 days--so, no trading till Thur.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.
SPY: Maybe A Good Chance for Puts

MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025

There’s a fundamental misunderstanding taking root on fintwit -- the idea that we’re just navigating a rough patch. That the Fed can thread the needle. That tariffs are temporary. That volatility is an overreaction.But the institutions that once stabilized markets aren’t stabilizing anything right now -- not because they lack tools, but because they no longer control the narrative. And in 2025, narrative is EVERYTHING.This isn’t about whether Powell gets replaced. It’s about the fact that it’s even on the table. The perception that the U.S. might politicize monetary policy -- even in theory -- is enough to distort capital flows. And perception doesn’t need confirmation to become consequence.That’s where we are. Not in a collapse. Not in a rally. In a credibility void -- and the tape reflec
MY UPDATED MARKET PLAYBOOK FOR 2025
avatarKYHBKO
04-05

Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

Public Holidays The USA, China, Hong Kong & Singapore have no public holidays in the coming week. Economic Calendar (07Apr25) Economic Calendar for the week starting 07Apr25 Notable Highlights Consumer Price Index (CPI) should be the most watched macro data of the coming week. The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures month-over-month inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices). It’s a key indicator of underlying inflation trends. This represents the cost of living and will influence the Fed’s monetary policy decisions. The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures month-over-month changes in prices at the producer level, often a precursor to consumer inflation trends. The inflation that hits the producers would be passed onto the consumers. This can also be seen as one of the p
Q1/2025 earnings start with BlackRock - Preview of the week starting 07Apr25

GOLD: Continue to Fall Sharply! The Market Turn to be Positive?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Continue to fall sharply! Partners have made a maximum profit of 200 points! The New York market is about to start, and gold will most likely fall below $3,200! 2.Gold's slide suddenly accelerated in the Asian market on Wednesday (14 May), with gold prices just dropping to $3228.66, hitting an intraday low ! In the short term, according to the 4-hour chart, the mildly bullish 200-period SMA is providing support around $3225.40, but at the same time, the 20-period SMA has accelerated to the downside after breaking below the flat 100-period SMA, in line with increased selling
GOLD: Continue to Fall Sharply! The Market Turn to be Positive?

.SPX: For Long-term Positions With NO STOP

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Out of MOST short-term puts with profits (near 5900). Now, this is a level BEAR has to hold, otherwise, the bulls will push to a higher level, for a better short-entry. So many setups and stops need to update, no time to tweet. GLTA.Image2."You've Got Balls" Award.The BIG short-entry last Friday [5925] was not perfect, but good enough to land some decent profits. Expect SPX to hit sub-5800 by Wedn., certainly by the end of week. Put stop around 5900 for short-term positions. For long-term positions, NO STOP.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission.
.SPX: For Long-term Positions With NO STOP

MY OPEN LETTER TO A GENERATION LOCKED OUT OF OWNERSHIP

Why Peter Thiel Is Right -- And What Comes Next for Those Ready to BuildMillennials didn’t turn skeptical of capitalism because they lacked ambition, discipline, or resilience. They turned skeptical because the ladder they were told to climb wasn’t just missing a few rungs -- it had been pulled away altogether, replaced by a system that demanded belief without offering any real path to ownership. That’s not some bitter generational myth. It’s the foundational break that shaped every financial decision, every career plan, every entrepreneurial pivot made by Millennials since the GFC.We spent nearly two decades pretending that the old economic contract still existed -- that college degrees, corporate loyalty, and careful saving could still open the doors to upward mobility -- while the cost
MY OPEN LETTER TO A GENERATION LOCKED OUT OF OWNERSHIP

10 Best S&P 500 Stocks!!

10 Best S&P 500 Stocks!!
$Apple(AAPL)$ iPhones here in Europe are 20-30% more expensive than in US and no one ask if it has an impact on sales, so my fellow americans you can survive even with paying extra taxes to get a new phone[Lovely][Lovely][Lovely]Green tomorrow. As I said. Trump mixing and matching. Now European tariffs pushed back to July instead of June after good discussions. Plus tariffs not just for Apple phones so back to $200[Cool][Cool][Cool]

GOLD: Wait for the Support

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Perfect TP!!!Watch for support around 3202-05 next! Patiently waiting for the next opportunity to opportunistically enter the market! ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:šŸ¦ Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.šŸ’°Join the TB Contra Telegram Group t
GOLD: Wait for the Support

Here are 5 Recession-proof Stocks I Own

The United States is heading straight into a recession.Here are 5 recession-proof stocks I own: 🧵1. $American Express(AXP)$ American Express thrives both in inflation and in recession.Its commission-based model protects the downside in recession, as its user base is wealthier than that of Visa and Mastercard.It also thrives in inflation as the dollar value of its commissions grows as the basket totals grow.Currently fairly valued at $265, I would buy more if the forward P/E drops below 15, meaning below $230 will be a great entry point.Image2. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ Healthcare outperformed in all previous recessions.Despite all the negative sentiment around the company, it's the best healthcare business out th
Here are 5 Recession-proof Stocks I Own
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