MTA成立的初心是爲了幫助投資者理性投資，從實戰中學習，推崇的投資理念是穩定回報。作爲示範的模擬期權組合自2022年以來，經歷了22，23年港股大跌，卻一直獲取了正回報，而95%以上的交易平倉都是獲利，整個投資組合的波動和回撤都相當低。應該是成功示範了穩健的投資風格以及重視風險管理的投資理念，期望較爲平滑的回報曲綫，應對波動的市況。目前筆者爲了反饋讀者，將模擬期權投資組合放在了公開頁面，以及港股量化選股列表，供大家驗證和研究。雖然筆者亦經常分享美股指數短期看法，亦有即日買賣策略，但短綫炒賣并非一定是高風險，尤其是即日平倉之炒賣，每日波幅有數得計，風險即相對有限，只不過一直屬於機構和專業投資者領域，散戶缺乏合適的工具和資訊，往往難以競爭。又需要大量的精力時間專注在市場，如非全職基本上很難做到。即日炒賣的心得筆者日後再講，本期講一講一般業餘散戶投資者最爲適合的投資策略。先講講選股策略：第一個概念，相對强弱。相對强弱并非指RSI，而是相對於大市的强弱，這一概念由知名基金經理William O’Neil應用取得巨大成功之後推廣於世。後起之秀包括Mark Miniverni，Oliver Kell，Kristjan Kullamägi等一衆投資比賽冠軍，他們在股市裏面賺取了驚人的回報和財富，研究他們的技術，相似之處在於跟隨趨勢，尋找那些有潛力遠超大市表現的個股。這些股票通常都會在早期表現出强於大市的獨立走勢。第二個概念，波動率。這一點是與眾投資冠軍有分別的地方，投資冠軍傾向於高波動性的股票，理由很簡單，高波動性才會有超高回報。高回報聽起來很美好，如果不加後半句就疑似騙案。後半句是高波動性高回報但面對的是低成功率和較高風險，因此必須特別注重止損和風險管理，這是適合經驗豐富的職業選手。幸運的是，根據研究數據顯示，低波動率的個股，平均來講較能夠取得超額回報。我想背後的理由，應當是低波動率往

Concerns and Hope from last week ending 4th Apr 2025 Economic Calendar 31Mar-04Apr25 Manufacturing Sector Weakness: The U.S. manufacturing sector showed signs of contraction, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI (49.0) falling below 50 and the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (50.2) dropping significantly from the previous month (52.7). The Chicago PMI (47.6) also remained in contraction territory. This suggests a broader slowdown in industrial activity, which could be a drag on economic growth. Rising manufacturing prices (ISM Manufacturing Prices at 69.4) indicate increasing cost pressures, which could squeeze profit margins if demand weakens further. Crude Oil Inventories Surge: The unexpected increase in crude oil inventories (6.165M vs. a forecast of -0.200M) suggests a potential oversuppl

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some technical analysis with you!1.To Subs: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) the Red W-4 on the 30-min chart may NOT complete, which means the triangle will take a few more days to work out in this large chopping zone. (2) by so doing, the turning window I marked in the newsletter may be the ending point of W-4, not W-5. (3) patience.2.Panda Hammer landed 70+ pts in hours [the top of rebound is 5309; MPW hammer zone is 5300]. Now, after hitting 5234 support, the rebound complicates the picture. I am neutral now, with very tight stop at 5270-80. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ after hours will move market drastically. 20% position.Image3.99% Cash & Wait for the Cat with HAMMER: (1) Di

The most frustrating part isn’t just the headlines themselves -- it’s that we’re now trading in a market so fragile, so hypersensitive, that a rumor can move trillions. What we saw the past two days wasn’t about inflation, earnings, or rates -- it was about how deeply broken the communication loop has become between policy and capital.One headline said the 104% tariffs on Chinese imports had already gone into effect at noon. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ moved. Traders scrambled to reprice, to hedge, to get ahead of what looked like a sudden acceleration in enforcement. Then, just moments later, the White House Press Secretary said she might have been misquoted -- the tariffs weren’t

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold prices hit new record highs again on Monday on the back of the U.S.-led trade war, with data to be released in the coming days likely to highlight early signs of damage to the global economy. Spot gold climbed above $3,370 as the dollar fell. On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund will release its World Economic Outlook report, when it is expected to downgrade its growth outlook in new forecasts, while the following day's U.S. PMI data will provide an overview of economic activity since President Donald Trump's push for tariffs. Gold prices have surged to consecutive record levels this year as trade conflicts have disrupted global ma

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Early Tuesday (22 April) Asian market, spot gold continued to surge, once refresh the historical high to 3444.26 U.S. dollars. Gold prices jumped nearly 3 per cent on Monday, rising above $3,400, hitting a high of $3,430.43 and closing at $3,424.95, with safe-haven demand fuelled by a weaker dollar and uncertainty over the economic impact of international trade tensions.The dollar fell to its lowest level in three years as President Trump's comments on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell dealt another blow to investor confidence in the U.S. economy. The dollar index fell 0.89 per cent to close at 98.35 on Monday, after hitting a low of 9

1. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Wednesday (April 23) Asian morning trading, gold opened nearly $ 40 lower, and once touched $ 3313.51 / ounce, down nearly $ 200 from the record high of 3500 mark touched on Tuesday, as U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent hinted that international trade tensions will ease, which inspired optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar rallied to a nearly one-week high; Tuesday's spot gold closed down 1.2% to close at 3380.95 US dollars.Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:Find out mo

Let me be clear: I’m still a permabull. That hasn’t changed. Not for a second. Because we’re not at the end of a cycle -- we’re at the dawn of the 4th Industrial Revolution. AI, robotics, quantum, intelligent logistics, precision manufacturing, autonomous infrastructure -- these aren’t hype cycles. They’re structural shifts. They’re rewiring the foundation of enterprise, defense, consumer behavior, and national strategy. And we’re still in the early innings.But being a permabull doesn’t mean being blind to the reality of today. It means understanding the volatility within the trend and using it to your advantage. It means not panicking when conviction gets tested -- and not ignoring that we’re about to enter a period where even the strongest companies get thrown out with the noise.You have

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Seriously considering NVDS as an active hedge while accumulating long S&P 500 exposure. Shop S&P 500 4800-5200 (first buy yesterday was SPY 509.87)Hold NVDS until $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ WAITIN trades back above 100. Simple strategy.2.What if the after hours Trump rally is to sell into before Bessent state of financial system. The big guy is always looking out for his friends right?3.Yup. We are visiting the lows. No doubt about it. Sorry, I don’t make the rules.ImageOpen a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!For w

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.Short the Rip below 5500: (1) my small short position entered Friday afterhours is under-water now, if future's pump holds--which is not a given, as the real big brother is bond market. (2) the entire day's structure on Friday is very confusing--or artificial--to say the least, as the buying power came out periodically with a burst and some large quantity of ST calls. I noticed this weird behavior, but I STILL Believed, falsely, that at least Trump would give himself a few days to enjoy the delusional "win" over China. I mean, come on--everyone has a room temperature-level IQ knows from the beginning this tariff policy is a total farce and doomed to fail. (3) a pop-up open Monday, if below 5500, would be a spot to short

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.MPW Mid-Week Update Posted: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (1) as noted yesterday, the W-4 sideway moves extend into a large triangle, but the end results would be the same. (2) a perfect bull trap has been set. Holding my puts entered at 5460, now deep green.Under the conditions, what can we do to escap from the choppy water?🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Since forming a low at 4835.04 on April 7th, the S&P 500 has rallied nearly 650 points, pushing us up toward the 5500 level. For the past four trading days, price has been consolidating inside last Wednesday’s candle range and now the big question on everyone’s mind is: Where do we go next?I like to approach things through scenarios, so here are three potential scenarios I’m watching over the next few weeks:Scenario 1: Bullish 📈 SPX back tests 5350 and holds. We chop in a 5350–5500 range, then break above 5500 and begin filling the gap to the upside. As we form higher lows during the gap fill, momentum builds for a run toward 5700.Scenario 2: Bearish 📉 SPX back tests 5350, ranges between 5350–5400, then breaks down. We l

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fear is going to paralyze market participants as it challenges and breaks the lows. The mindset for me remains clear, this is a range to shop. 5200-5000 good value 4800-5000 great valueThis is not to say jump in with two feet. A position can be opened on weakness and sized into strength confirmation. SimpleOpen a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:Find out more here：Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Technical Bounce Near 4818(2022 ATH). Could this have marked the bottom? ✅ We saw a massive gap down today opening at 4953 to test a lows of 4835 by 9:44AM EST. We then saw a big bounce there and moved 170pts back to 5000 in 9 minutes. Fake news spurred the market around 10:10AM EST signaling that a "90-Day Pause In Tariffs". This sent the market in a frenzy and rallied us to a high of 5246 in 6 minutes. Turned out the news was not real and it send us back to 4953 in ~20 minutes.So What Is The Takeaway From Today? We held a technical level which is SPX 4850 the 2022 highs. As long as that continues to hold we should form a base and move back to 5700. If we