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Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 8/4/2025

$GOTU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Join Larry McMillan as he discusses the current state of the stock market on August 4, 2025. https://www.youtube.com/embed/HXVPNT_IYFY$GOTU$ 
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 8/4/2025

The Sell Call Strategy Week

As Q2 earnings season continues with the familiar theme of stocks gapping up and selling off post-earnings, the most reliable strategy this week remains sell calls after earnings.However, based on the current option flow, AMD, PLTR, and SMCI do not show significantly higher upside expectations compared to last week, so selling calls early may also be a viable approach. $Figma(FIG)$ Figma’s options begin trading on its third day post-IPO, with August 15 expirations worth monitoring. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Last week, institutions sold calls at $182.5 and $185 while hedging with call buys at $190 and $195.After Friday’s roll, this week’s sell call strikes remain $180 and $185:$AMD 20250808 180.0 CALL$AM
The Sell Call Strategy Week

Option Stratgies: .SPX, QQQ& META

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option stratgies with you!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ran almost 1600 points since the April 7th lows. We're starting to see signs of a deeper pull back after a green to red move in both $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Yesterday even after a Big gap up on $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ earnings. In terms of seasonality, August is a more bearish month. This is usually the time most traders give back all their gains from June and July. 70% of traders will end up flat or in the red by the end of the summer. Do not be a
Option Stratgies: .SPX, QQQ& META

Option Strategies: .SPX, HIMS, PLTR& MSTR

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Majority of the gamma for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is at 6250 last day. Wouldn't be surprised to see us stay around this area (+/- 10 to 20 points) for today.Wanted to write a call credit spread to complete the 0DTE iron condor, but there isn't much premium at the gap fill level of 6330 or higher for a 10-wide spread. Don't really want to get caught in a gap fill scenario if something good happens in the market today. Probably unlikely, but the cushion just isn't there for our liking.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ getting back into put-writing territory for us. Limped in with this trade.STO MSTR Aug 8 expiry 240 strike putImage3.
Option Strategies: .SPX, HIMS, PLTR& MSTR

A Simple Guide to Profiting from AMD’s Q2 Earnings

2025 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Q2 Earnings ExpectationsKey Growth Driver: Data center GPU business.Microsoft’s Contribution: Microsoft has significantly increased capital expenditures, with its purchases accounting for approximately 8% of AMD’s total sales.PC Market: Performing better than expected, alongside continued growth in AMD’s server CPU market share.China Market: The MI308X GPU has been approved for re-export to China, expected to contribute approximately $300 million in Q3 and $500 million in Q4 to net profit.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookPositive Report: Strong growth drivers but no major surprises.No Significant Bearish Risks: Bullish factors are likely already priced into the stock.High Valuation: Current valuation remains el
A Simple Guide to Profiting from AMD’s Q2 Earnings

Massive Bearish Bet on TSMC: $20 Million Put Trade

The biggest news on Friday was the unexpected downward revision of U.S. nonfarm payroll data. The May and June figures were revised down by more than 200,000 jobs, leaving employment growth as a shadow of what was initially reported. Suddenly, it feels like the U.S. economy is on the verge of collapse, seemingly needing rate cuts to recover.The market has been itching for a pullback, and now it has found a reason to drop.Some bearish indicators are emerging, such as VIX call spreads with strikes ranging from 60 to 100. Whether these are bullish call spreads or bearish call spreads, such strike prices are highly unusual:$VIX 20251022 60.0 CALL$VIX 20251022 100.0 CALLAdditionally, a massive bearish put trade was opened on TSMC with September expirations:$TSM 20250905 240.0 PUT$TSM 20250905 2
Massive Bearish Bet on TSMC: $20 Million Put Trade

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/1/2025

$VXX$ $TVIX$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The buildup of overbought conditions has manifested itself in new confirmed sell signals. However, the $SPX chart is still positive, and will remain so, certainly as long as it's above 6150. A bullish case can theoretically be made for $SPX all the way down to 5920, but at this point, if it were to fall back below the February highs (6150), that would be psychologically damaging for it would mean that the whole breakout in June and July was a false one. Equity-only put-call ratios have confirmed sell signals this week as well. Both ratios began to visibly rise, and that coupled with the fact that the computer analysis programs were grading them as being on se
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/1/2025

NVIDIA’s Unique “Mini Triple Witching Day”

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ What happens when options volume for the current week suddenly surges to triple witching levels in just a few days?On Wednesday, NVIDIA’s stock price rose 2%, and the open interest (OI) for the $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL expiring this week increased by 104,800 contracts, pushing its total OI to an astonishing 293,700 contracts!There are three call options expiring this week with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL: 293,700 contracts$NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL: 149,000 contracts$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL: 117,000 contractsTo put this into perspective, let’s compare it to the June 20 triple witching day:On June 20, there were four call strikes with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts: $NVDA 20250620 150.0 CALL, 145.0 CALL,
NVIDIA’s Unique “Mini Triple Witching Day”

COIN: IPO Break at $429 Can Send Stock To $600 By Year End

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ IPO Break at $429 Can Send Stock To $600 By Year End📈 We finally broke out of the 7 month bull flag range back in June and tested the IPO high of 430. We couldn't hold long above 430, but looks like we are setting up to retest the IPO high and possibly breakout into a multi-month move. If we break and hold above 430 we can see 600 by year-end!Growth DriversCoinbase is the backbone custodian/prime broker for BTC & ETH spot ETFs, benefitting directly from continued institutional inflows,Explosive growth in USDC revenue, recurring subs (Coinbase One), and derivatives (U.S. perps now live),Onchain growth via Base + strengthened institutional custody credibility with BlackRock & ETH ETF partners,Recent Developments
COIN: IPO Break at $429 Can Send Stock To $600 By Year End

EOSE: Very Promising Result!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.There was a reason why the executives were dumping their shares yesterday. And now we have confirmation of the warning signal based on the price reaction to earnings in AH.That said, very promising results for $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ . This will be back above $6 again. Maybe tutes are just taking profit or killing the price so that they can load up lower.ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up
EOSE: Very Promising Result!

A Short Squeeze in the Making

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, it’s either the short squeeze of the century or nothing happens.On Tuesday, a massive 200,000-lot bullish call spread was opened:Selling $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALLBuying $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALLAs a result, the open interest for $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL surged from 48,000 contracts on Monday to 146,000 contracts.Potential Outcome: If NVIDIA’s stock price breaks $177.5, there’s a high probability of a squeeze, potentially pushing the price directly to $185.Bearish Positions:No excessive bearish sentiment. Most put options are opened at the $170 strike.A notable longer-term bearish position is the $NVDA 20251219 146.0 PUT, with 7,398 contracts opened. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ For this
A Short Squeeze in the Making

July 30th Market TRADE PLAN 📈

FOMC day is upon us. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ will either see 6400+ or back under 6334. If SPX breaks 6334 it can test 6300, SPX needs 6400 to run another 100 pts to 6500. Let's see if Powell cuts rates today. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ to 180 in play if the market can breakout today after FOMC/Powell. Calls can work near 178 for today $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ keep an eye on 568, possible we see 575-580 by next week if QQQ can hold near 568 over the next 2 days.We usually see the real move AFTER Powell talks so be patient beforehand. Good luck today everyone!! 🫡For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit
July 30th Market TRADE PLAN 📈

A Simple Guide to Profiting from Amazon’s Q2 Earnings

2025 Q2 Earnings Expectations $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon’s Q2 results are expected to exceed market consensus, with projected revenue of $164 billion.Resilient consumer demand, with North American retail sales growth likely to reach 10%, exceeding the market’s 8% expectation.Amazon was the only major retailer to show accelerated sales growth in June.Due to chip supply constraints, AWS growth in Q2 will be slightly slower than Q1, but capacity is expected to improve in the second half of the year.However, Q2 profit margins are expected to shrink by 60 basis points QoQ.Q3 guidance is likely to be in line with expectations.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookIt’s a positive report.No major bearish catalysts, but the bullish factors are likely already
A Simple Guide to Profiting from Amazon’s Q2 Earnings

A Simple Guide to Profiting from Apple’s Q3 Earnings

2025 Q3 Earnings Expectations $Apple(AAPL)$ Apple’s 2025 fiscal Q3 corresponds to the calendar Q2 of 2025.Consumer demand was pulled forward, with Q3 revenue expected at $89.6 billion, exceeding forecasts.Gross margin is projected at 45.8%, slightly below expectations.Gross margin for fiscal Q4 is anticipated to drop to 45%.The market is concerned about Apple lagging behind in the AI space.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookA neutral to slightly negative report.No major surprises, and no significant bearish catalysts.Current valuation is not at historical highs.Expected earnings volatility: ±4.2%, trading range between $203–$222.Trading StrategyDespite some negatives, the valuation is reasonable, and the stock is unlikely to break below the expec
A Simple Guide to Profiting from Apple’s Q3 Earnings

Will NVIDIA Reach $185 This Week?

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It’s only Monday, and the open interest (OI) for this week’s expiring options has already reached astonishing levels.There are three call options with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALLFor context, even during the June triple witching day, only four call options had OI exceeding 100,000 contracts.High OI can have different impacts depending on the timing:Early in the week (Monday–Wednesday): High OI creates a squeeze effect, pushing the stock price higher as it gravitates toward the higher strike prices. That’s why I believe NVIDIA has a chance to hit $185 this week.Later in the week (Thursday–Friday): The stock price tends to stabilize in the range with the lar
Will NVIDIA Reach $185 This Week?

Option Strategies: .SPX, NVDA& AVGO

1.TRADE PLAN for Tuesday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ consolidation day before FOMC on Wednesday. SPX rejected at 6400 and dropped 25 points. Most likely we see another consolidation day tomorrow. WAIT For AFTER FOMC before considering a trade this week. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ lots of relative strength, NVDA to 180 possible if market can rip higher after FOMC.NVDA Aug 8 180C is best above 175 this week $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 300 test in play by Wednesday. If AVGO can breakout above 300 it can run another 15-20 points in August.AVGO Aug 8 310C best near 300I'd be patient over the next 1.5 days before FOMC. I don't see any signs of momentum in SPX or
Option Strategies: .SPX, NVDA& AVGO

Option Strategies: PYPL

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with U!1. $PayPal(PYPL)$ Ended up writing the Aug 1 expiry, $70 put strike on PYPL.Confidence level on this trade is not high considering there is a large amount of OI at the 70 put strike. Feels like tutes know this is gonna dump for earnings, and am kinda thinking it might. Will roll down-and-out if that 70 level gets breached badly. Let's see what earnings brings. 😬🤞🏽ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 m
Option Strategies: PYPL

Why pick OPTIONS? Instead of stock? | #OptionsHandbook EP001

In the investment market, what can options truly offer traders? The Options Handbook shows us that options hold three fundamental values— ▶ Manage Risk Like a Pro Black Swan events don't come with a warning. But with a simple put option, you could cap your losses. Simple. Smart. Sleep-better investing. ▶ Multiply Your Upside with Less Capital Buying shares costs more. Options offer similar exposure for less. If the stock jumps, returns can be amplified. But here's a fair warning: leverage cuts both ways. The cheaper the option, the more likely it is to be worthless. That’s the trade-off. ▶ Flexibility in All Market Conditions Stocks typically only profit if prices go up, unless you're short-sellin
Why pick OPTIONS? Instead of stock? | #OptionsHandbook EP001
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon are all reporting earnings. Their expected results and price patterns may mirror Google’s: price increases but gap up followed by a sell-off. These companies are also likely to expand their investments in AI, similar to Google.With AI demand continuing to grow, NVIDIA has strong support underneath, making sell puts a relatively safe strategy. The same applies to AMD.For call options, institutions are selling $NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL, while hedging with $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL. It’s worth noting that the open interest at $177.5 is close to 100,000 contracts, suggesting there’s a good chance NVIDIA’s price will close near $177.

Trading Strategies: .SPX, PLTR& HOOD

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with u!1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ TRADE PLAN 📈 📉 SPX bullish plan: SPX above 6400 SPX July 30 6460C T 6432,6469 SL 6369 📈SPX bearish plan: SPX under 6334 SPX July 30 6300P T 6300,6279 SL 6369 📉 SPX moved from 6281 to 6395 at the highs last week. If SPX can breakout above 6400 we can see another push towards 6485-6500 before a short term top forms. We have FOMC, Core PCE, and tech earnings this week. The only way the market starts to look more bearish is if SPX fails to hold 6300 this week. Calls can work above 6400Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ Trade idea: HOOD August 1 110CTrigger: 105 ✅ Targets: 111, 115 🎯 Stop: No SL 🛑 Has been basing above 100 the pa
Trading Strategies: .SPX, PLTR& HOOD
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