Trump Calls for Lower Oil Prices: Is Following Trump the Ultimate Stock Play?

Last night, Trump once again made a call: he hopes for lower oil prices. And sure enough, things turned out as expected — a major reversal across asset classes followed. U.S. stocks surged, oil prices plunged, leaving both bulls and bears stunned. Crude oil posted its biggest single-day drop since August 2022.

I like my tiger, the tiger is an animal.
avatarAN88
06-28
Yes but when dip and sell when bull
avatarBarcode
06-23
$Occidental(OXY)$ $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$ $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ 💥🛢️📉The War That Crashed Oil: What the Market’s Missing on Iran Risk📉🛢️💥 Missiles are in the air, airspace is closed, bases are bunkered, and yet, oil prices have fallen. Welcome to the most mispriced geopolitical standoff of the decade. Iran just fired six missiles at US installations in Qatar and Iraq in direct retaliation for the weekend strikes on its nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. The UK followed with a shelter-in-place order. Air defence systems are lit across Ain Al-Asad. Even Qatar, home to the largest US base in the Middle East, has shut its skies. B
There it is: The US bombed Iranian nuclear sites and Iran's Parliament just voted to close the Strait of Hormuz. Yet, 15 hours after futures opened, S&P 500 futures are GREEN and oil prices are RED. If we told you Iran's Parliament would vote to close Hormuz (pending Iran's Security Council approval), which controls 20% of global oil and gas, and oil and natural gas prices would be DOWN, you'd likely call us crazy. But, that's exactly what just happened, with oil prices going from up +5% to down -0.2% and natural gas prices now down -1.1%. And, even as the US appears to have joined the war against Iran and Trump calls for "regime change," gold prices are RED. As we have reiterated, the world is NOT on the brink of World War 3. Markets continue to expect a short-lived conflict.

The Strait of Hormuz becomes the focus of oil prices? Take the opportunity to learn to use the bear

As the United States intervenes in the Israel-Iraq war, people are increasingly worried about whether the Strait of Hormuz, the "most important oil choke point in the world", will be closed.Kusari, a member of the National Security Committee of the Iranian Parliament, recently said,Iran's parliament has concluded that the Strait of Hormuz should be closed, but the final decision lies with Iran's Supreme National Security Council.The Strait of Hormuz is the strait connecting the Persian Gulf and the Indian Ocean, and it is also the only waterway entering the Persian Gulf. Its strategic position is self-evident. Crude oil from major oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and Iran needs to be transported to all parts of the world through the Strait of Hormuz, making it a
The Strait of Hormuz becomes the focus of oil prices? Take the opportunity to learn to use the bear
avatarAh_Meng
06-23
As I had shared yesterday, US or Donald Trump has made his move. All eyes are now on Iranian 🇮🇷 response... what would Iran do? Oh, what could Iranian even do? That would be the expected thought process of Donald Trump's government. Like China in a tariff war, Donald Trump expects Iran to do nothing and just surrender. As mentioned in my previous post, I don't have military visibility into Iranian military capabilities. However desperate people take desperate measures. I am obviously not hoping for a 9-11 or equivalent event. Besides conventional warfare, US has to be prepared for some unconventional responses from the Iranian government. The market's current response is relatively subdued if I may. Yes, there's the initial drop in indices future and some spikes in oil and gas pr
avatarHMH
06-23

U.S. Strikes Iran’s Nuclear Sites: Will Oil Hit $100 or Spark a Market Meltdown?

On June 21, 2025, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. military executed precision strikes on three key Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—marking a dramatic escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict. Trump hailed the operation as a “spectacular military success,” claiming Iran’s nuclear enrichment capabilities were “completely obliterated.” Iran’s Revolutionary Guard responded defiantly, vowing “serious consequences” and threatening U.S. interests across the Middle East. As Brent crude surged 2.6% to $79 per barrel by Sunday evening, investors are bracing for volatility. Could this conflict push oil prices to $80 or beyond, and might extreme scenarios trigger a broader market crisis? This article analyses the geopolitical fallout, oil market dynamics, and tradin
U.S. Strikes Iran’s Nuclear Sites: Will Oil Hit $100 or Spark a Market Meltdown?

What to focus on if WWIII breaks out next week

Exactly 4 months ago, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ went below 20SMA and crashed 22% due to Trump tariffs.4 hours ago, US bombed Iranian nuclear facilities escalating war with Israel. SPY will break 20SMA again.Here's what to focus on if WWIII breaks out next week 🧵 ImageFirstly, institutions said with right triggers like global nuclear war between US and the Middle East, SPY would easily RETEST the $480 lows again. We think this is highly unlikely and this war will be short but volatile for a few weeks more.4 key areas right now on SPY we must pay attention to:1. 20SMA at $5942. 200SMA at $5803. JPM collar (short call at 5905) so $5904. Gap between $567-$580 (could be filled if) these levels are broken.SPY will have a hard time breaking below
What to focus on if WWIII breaks out next week
avatarIsleigh
06-22

🚨 BREAKING: U.S. Strikes Iranian Nuclear Sites — Will Oil Soar Next? 🛢️⚠️

$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$   $Occidental(OXY)$   $Chevron(CVX)$   $United States Oil Fund LP(USO)$   21 June 2025 will go down as a flashpoint moment for global markets. In a stunning overnight development, the U.S. military—under orders from Trump—launched precision strikes on three key Iranian nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Iran's Revolutionary Guard has promised 'serious consequences', threatening U.S. assets across the Middle East. 📈 Market Reactions
🚨 BREAKING: U.S. Strikes Iranian Nuclear Sites — Will Oil Soar Next? 🛢️⚠️
avatarAh_Meng
06-22

US, or Donald Trump, has decided to enter the war

So it happens… as expected, US has entered another new war. History is on US side, bad history… Time and again, US justifies its actions by using its military might. Trump, campaigned on big government spending cuts, can’t resist himself and his egos… Remember the big military bash just a week or so ago to celebrate his birthday? This is not someone who cares much about spending cuts, especially it is not his money… US$40M+, down the drain… The world was not looking. People are questioning this waste… what did he do in response? Start a new war front, as soon as many American Presidents before him. Think Afghanistan… who had equipped them? Then, came the infamous 9-11, which resulted in US war with them. Then came the Iraqi war, where US justified their invasion based on fake informat
US, or Donald Trump, has decided to enter the war
avatarBarcode
06-22
$Brent Last Day Financial - main 2508(BZmain)$ $Occidental(OXY)$ $Teekay Tankers(TNK)$ 🔥🛢️🚨Iran’s Hormuz Gambit: The Oil Shock That Could Redefine Markets🚨🛢️🔥 I’m watching the most critical chokepoint in global energy transform into a geopolitical powder keg. Polymarket odds of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz this year just surged to 55%. That’s not just some niche signal. It’s the market screaming about a potential supply shock after U.S. airstrikes destroyed three of Iran’s main nuclear sites: Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. Trump called the operation a “spectacular military success.” Netanyahu followed with “peace through strength.” But I’m not buying the bra

Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?

While the market eagerly anticipates developments in US-China negotiations and tariff issues, Israel has once again stirred the scene. Sensitive geopolitical factors have made oil prices last week’s biggest winner, as prices quickly rebounded above $65 and began to climb toward $80, approaching the median price range that prevailed during the Biden administration. How the Israel-Iran situation unfolds will introduce significant uncertainty for oil prices and other markets, which have so far remained relatively calm.According to JPMorgan, in the worst-case scenario where the Strait of Hormuz is closed, oil prices could surge to $120 per barrel, though this remains relatively unlikely at present. The bank also believes the fair value for US crude is in the $60–$65 range, as persistently high
Will the Iran-Israel Conflict Spur Further Oil Price Gains?
avatarMkoh
03-11

ExxonMobil a steady compounder and dividend king

Key Drivers for 2025 Performance Oil Prices and Demand Bull Case: Oil demand remains robust, supported by economic recovery and tight supply. OPEC+ cuts and geopolitical tensions (e.g., Russia-Ukraine) could keep Brent crude above $80/barrel, boosting ExxonMobil’s upstream earnings. Analysts like those at LongForecast project oil stabilizing at $60-$80, with spikes possible, aligning with ExxonMobil’s historical earnings sensitivity (EPS ~$13 at $100 oil per InvestorPlace, October 2023). Bear Case: Global supply increases (e.g., non-OPEC production) and a potential demand peak (ExxonMobil’s own 2050 Outlook) could cap oil at $60-$70, pressuring margins. J.P. Morgan’s November 2024 warning of trade war volatility adds downside risk. Financial Strength 2024 Results: ExxonMobil reported $33.7
ExxonMobil a steady compounder and dividend king
avataramat99
02-16
Oil 70$ you want to search engine 
Will trump negotiate with be a push to the oil price drop?

Are You Ready For The Drop In Oil Price?Trump's Victory May Pressure Oil Prices Through 2025

January 20th marked the inauguration of the new U.S. President, Donald Trump, officially kicking off the "Trump 2.0" era. This inauguration was quite different from past ceremonies, breaking several long-standing American traditions. For instance, it was moved from the usual outdoor setting to indoors, foreign leaders were invited—a rare exception—and it set a new record for fundraising. These unique elements definitely made the event stand out.Now, when it comes to the financial markets, what really grabs my attention are the executive orders Trump might sign after taking office. There were plenty of expectations about his policies before, but the real question is whether there will be any surprises. These unexpected moves could shake up the markets, so it's best to tread carefully when t
Are You Ready For The Drop In Oil Price?Trump's Victory May Pressure Oil Prices Through 2025

Trump’s Energy Strategy: The Future of U.S. Oil Reserves and Global Supply

The energy-related executive orders issued by Trump upon taking office include:Declaring a national energy emergency and fully ramping up drilling.Rebuilding the United States as a manufacturing powerhouse by leveraging the world's largest reserves of oil and natural gas.Refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and exporting American energy to countries worldwide.Ending the Green New Deal, revoking mandatory electric vehicle requirements, saving the automotive industry, and revitalizing car manufacturing in the U.S. at an unprecedented pace.Trump's policies could create uncertainty in the oil market, rather than providing a clear path to lower or more stable prices. Oil prices experienced significant fluctuations, with WTI crude reaching over $80 per barrel, driven by supply concerns rela
Trump’s Energy Strategy: The Future of U.S. Oil Reserves and Global Supply
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