Why Gold May Struggle to Shine Beyond $3,500 As of Wednesday, June 4, 2025, gold prices have captured attention following a 2% surge to $3,398 per ounce on Monday, driven by escalating tensions in the Russia-Ukraine war and U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat to double tariffs on imported steel and aluminum. The recent spike has fueled speculation about whether gold could breach the $3,500 mark this year. However, despite the current geopolitical turmoil, I remain skeptical about gold’s long-term prospects and its ability to sustain a significant upward trajectory. The Case Against a Gold Rally While geopolitical uncertainty often boosts demand for safe-haven assets like gold, the current rally may be short-lived. The $3,398 price reflects a knee-jerk reaction to recent events, but histor

Gold and Silver: A Golden Opportunity Amid Highs As of June 6, 2025, gold and silver are stealing the spotlight in financial markets, with prices hovering near all-time highs. A recent post on X highlights the surge in precious metal stocks: Endeavour Silver soared 9.5%, First Majestic Silver and Coeur Mining both gained 6%, and Harmony Gold rose 5%. This rally reflects a broader market optimism, fueled by global economic uncertainty, inflation fears, and geopolitical tensions. But with gold eyeing a potential $3,500 per ounce this year, the question looms: is this the time to jump+ invest, or should investors wait for a breakout? Let’s explore why this moment could be a golden opportunity. Gold and silver have long been safe-haven assets, and their appeal is stronger than ever in 2025. Th

Bitcoin and gold can play distinct roles in a diversified portfolio, with their relevance varying by investor age, risk tolerance, and financial goals. Below, I’ll discuss their characteristics, benefits, risks, and how they fit into portfolios for different age brackets: young investors (20s–30s), mid-career investors (40s–50s), and retirees (60s+). The analysis draws on their historical roles as assets, current market dynamics, and general investment principles. Overview of Bitcoin and Gold Gold: Characteristics: A physical commodity, historically a store of value, hedge against inflation, and safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. Benefits: Low correlation with equities, preserves purchasing power over long periods, performs well during inflation or geopolitical crises. Risks: No

If these are not winners... Then what is? Some big, some obviously small... What's the common theme? Gold and silver obviously... I have at one point or another highlighted my 🐂 on precious metal group. Just wanted to have a quick sharing of some of my holdings... Definitely not to show off... There's nothing on show here...  My biggest gold and silver theme stock, $Wheaton Precious Metals(WPM)$ is not even here on display... Yep, it hits its resistance upper limit and corrected slightly, but that uptrend is very much alive and going... For $100 and beyond... I am looking at least a 5-bagger there... and it's a long time coming, being HODL (Holding On for Dear Life) there. Can't even remember when I bought it. Just know that it's running on free carry... That just meant that I have so

Last week, we focused on the logic behind the rise of $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ .This week,we continue to cover opportunities intheprecious metals sector.Today’s focus is on $Silver - main 2505(SImain)$ concept.Silver is A Bright Spot in 2025's Precious Metals Market.1. Silver Surges Ahead of Gold💰 With the US dollar and Treasury bonds under pressure, silver stocks and ETFs are surging as safe-haven assets!5-Day Performance: Over the past five trading days, silver stocks have seen across-the-board gains, outperforming the gold sector and ranking just behind the precious metals mining sector (which we will continue to monitor for potential opportunities).Data from Tiger Trade, Data as of 14th April 2025.Y

From April 3 to April 7, gold prices plummeted for three consecutive trading days, with a total decline of 7.08%. However, gold prices quickly rebounded and hit a record high of $3,263.Due to last week's plunge, investors sell gold to cover margin calls from losses in other assets such as equities.But soon after, as US Treasuries and the dollar plunged, investors once again turned to gold as a safe haven. Amid escalating US-China tariff tensions, markets feared that China might sell US Treasury assets, pushing yields sharply higher.1. Major Banks Raise Gold Price Targets to $3500-$4000 $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ raised its year-end $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ forecast to $3,700 (previously $3,300), with a proje

GoldNuggets Digest: gold $Gold - main 2508(GCmain)$ price trend check, gold vs silver $Silver - main 2507(SImain)$ price, silver price long-term technicals, silver vs gold relative value indicator, investor allocations to silver...Gold TrendDespite the recent patch of range-trading and consolidation, gold remains in a strong uptrend (gold price trading above its key moving averages, moving averages upward sloping, 50-day above 200-day average, and overall sequence of higher highs and higher lows). Silver ShiningSilver is also looking solid, and as of the time of writing has just surged almost 6% in a day. Silver starting to play catch-up vs gold? Silver vs Gold Relative ValueAnd when it comes to s

Gold is really too fierce for a while, the past year directly up 50%, sitting on the "most beautiful boy" throne.In the face of this strong performance, has been 3300 U.S. dollars / ounce price, the price of the yuan close to 1100 yuan, many people began to entangle an old problem - is it time to sell gold?Unlike stocks, bonds can rely on PE, price-earnings ratio, interest rate pivot, CPI and other indicators to assess the "fair value" of gold, gold is a hard currency without income, valuation standards, to put it bluntly, is to look at the market atmosphere and macro expectations.From the historical point of view, the gold price has been in the high, but not to the limit!Historically it's not uncommon for gold to rise 2-4 times after a few key breakouts.Like 1972, 1978, 2008, these time p

$MAG Silver(MAG)$ This is one of the hottest trades in town... June has kicked off as well for me as it can be... gold took off due to the great Trump uncertainty... known now as the TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out)[Facepalm]  [LOL]  [Chuckle]  [Evil]  trades... silver and platinum did not just take off, but flew...  Why?  The weakness of USD due to the US "big and beautiful spending bill" promoted by Donald Trump. As a result, USD continues its downward spiral as discussed a couple of weeks ago. USD treasury is no longer as safe as perceived... having said that, now is still not the time to go all in for the demise of USD. The trust has weakened, but not yet broken... don't believe me, ask Warran Buffett! [Chuckle]&nb

Gold has historically served as a reliable hedge during periods of geopolitical tension, economic uncertainty, and inflation, as it tends to hold its value and attract safe-haven demand. The current escalation in the Russian conflict and tariff-related tensions would naturally heighten interest in gold as a protective asset. Gold Outlook: If the geopolitical and economic risks persist or intensify, gold could indeed breach the $3,500 mark. However, predicting commodity prices is inherently uncertain due to the complex interplay of factors such as interest rates, currency strength (particularly the U.S. dollar), and central bank policies. Physical Gold vs. Gold Futures: Physical Gold: Offers direct ownership and is considered a long-term store of value. It is suitable for those looking for

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ Gold has been on a relentless upward trajectory, nearing $3,400 and smashing through record highs in 2025. This meteoric rise has sparked intense debate: Is gold too expensive now, or is this just the beginning? Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS have weighed in with bold forecasts, predicting even higher prices by year-end. But with recession fears looming, is gold truly the best choice for your portfolio? Let’s dive into the latest data, unpack the forecasts, and explore what this means for inves

Last week's post was a timely reminder: gold prices were facing correction expectations. As it turned out, stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data finally triggered a significant adjustment in gold prices. However, based on historical data of similar gold market trends, this correction is just getting started and remains far from the historical average decline of over 20%. With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting approaching next week, gold prices are likely to fall further. For those looking to "buy the dip," it's advisable not to rush in too soon.Historical Magnitude and Timing of Gold CorrectionsAnyone who has followed my posts or live streams knows that I always provide estimations of the extent and timing for every significant market move, and the accuracy of these predict

Gold prices have surged in 2025, recently reaching $3,398 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and renewed U.S.-China trade frictions. Analysts, such as those from Citi, have adjusted their short-term forecasts, anticipating gold could reach $3,500 within the next three months, driven by increased safe-haven demand and substantial buying from Chinese insurers . Other institutions like UBS and Goldman Sachs also project gold prices to climb to $3,500 or higher by year-end, citing persistent inflation concerns and central bank purchases. When considering hedging against U.S. stock market risks, investors often weigh the merits of physical gold versus gold futures. Physical gold offers tangible ownership and is free from counterparty r

As volatility returns today, with the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ down over -3%, gold has surged by another +$100/oz. Meanwhile, the US Dollar index, $ $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ , is pushing below 100 for the first time since September 2024. If equities revisit their lows, $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ could surge well above $3,500/oz. By@KobeissiLetterHeading into this week, our premium members took shorts in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . We called for a drop below 5325 which was just crossed. Gold has been a key leading indicator for all risky assets.Gold is trading like we are in a depression: Over the last 20 years,

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $10-Year Treasury Note( $Tonix Pharmaceuticals(TNXP)$ ) Gold has smashed through another ceiling, hitting an electrifying all-time high of $3,240 per ounce as of April 13, 2025. The precious metal’s latest rally is turning heads, with market chatter pinning the surge on one major catalyst: Donald Trump’s looming influence and the uncertainty it brings. With recession fears simmering and Trump’s unpredictable policies back in play, investors are piling into safe havens. But here’s the million-dollar question: If a recession trade kicks in, is gold really the best choi

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ Gold’s on fire! As of April 16, 2025, gold prices have climbed to $3,246 per ounce, fueled by trade war jitters and inflation pressures. Goldman Sachs’ commodities team just boosted their year-end forecast to $3,700, hinting at a wild upside of $4,500 if economic chaos erupts. Not to be outdone, UBS upped their target to $3,500, citing recession risks. But with everyone rushing to buy, should you sell now—or hold for more gains? And in a recession trade, does gold still reign supreme? Let’s break it down with fresh dat

I have been keeping a close eye on the gold market recently, especially as prices soared past the $3500 mark, which was the target set by several institutions. Seeing gold hit this record high and then pull back has me thinking about the next move. The volatility is hard to ignore, and I am trying to decide whether this pullback is a sign of a larger correction or just a temporary dip before another rally. The market dynamics feel intense right now, and I am eager to understand where gold might head next. The updated forecasts from major institutions like Goldman Sachs and UBS have caught my attention. Goldman Sachs raised their year-end gold price forecast to $3700, and they even mentioned the possibility of prices reaching as high as $4500 due to upside risks. UBS followed suit, adjustin

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ $VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF( $VANECK VECTORS GOLD MINERS A SHARES(GDX.UK)$ )$ Gold has been on an unstoppable run, smashing through $3,500 per ounce before a slight pullback, leaving investors wondering: Is it too high now, or is there still room to climb? As of late April 2025, spot gold hovers around $3,485, up an eye-watering 27.5% year-to-date. The rally’s pace has outstripped even the most optimistic forecasts, with Goldman Sachs hiking its year-end target to $3,700