The biggest news on Friday was the unexpected downward revision of U.S. nonfarm payroll data. The May and June figures were revised down by more than 200,000 jobs, leaving employment growth as a shadow of what was initially reported. Suddenly, it feels like the U.S. economy is on the verge of collapse, seemingly needing rate cuts to recover.The market has been itching for a pullback, and now it has found a reason to drop.Some bearish indicators are emerging, such as VIX call spreads with strikes ranging from 60 to 100. Whether these are bullish call spreads or bearish call spreads, such strike prices are highly unusual:$VIX 20251022 60.0 CALL$VIX 20251022 100.0 CALLAdditionally, a massive bearish put trade was opened on TSMC with September expirations:$TSM 20250905 240.0 PUT$TSM 20250905 2

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ What happens when options volume for the current week suddenly surges to triple witching levels in just a few days?On Wednesday, NVIDIA’s stock price rose 2%, and the open interest (OI) for the $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL expiring this week increased by 104,800 contracts, pushing its total OI to an astonishing 293,700 contracts!There are three call options expiring this week with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL: 293,700 contracts$NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL: 149,000 contracts$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL: 117,000 contractsTo put this into perspective, let’s compare it to the June 20 triple witching day:On June 20, there were four call strikes with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts: $NVDA 20250620 150.0 CALL, 145.0 CALL,

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, it’s either the short squeeze of the century or nothing happens.On Tuesday, a massive 200,000-lot bullish call spread was opened:Selling $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALLBuying $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALLAs a result, the open interest for $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL surged from 48,000 contracts on Monday to 146,000 contracts.Potential Outcome: If NVIDIA’s stock price breaks $177.5, there’s a high probability of a squeeze, potentially pushing the price directly to $185.Bearish Positions:No excessive bearish sentiment. Most put options are opened at the $170 strike.A notable longer-term bearish position is the $NVDA 20251219 146.0 PUT, with 7,398 contracts opened. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ For this

2025 Q2 Earnings Expectations $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Amazon’s Q2 results are expected to exceed market consensus, with projected revenue of $164 billion.Resilient consumer demand, with North American retail sales growth likely to reach 10%, exceeding the market’s 8% expectation.Amazon was the only major retailer to show accelerated sales growth in June.Due to chip supply constraints, AWS growth in Q2 will be slightly slower than Q1, but capacity is expected to improve in the second half of the year.However, Q2 profit margins are expected to shrink by 60 basis points QoQ.Q3 guidance is likely to be in line with expectations.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookIt’s a positive report.No major bearish catalysts, but the bullish factors are likely already

2025 Q3 Earnings Expectations $Apple(AAPL)$ Apple’s 2025 fiscal Q3 corresponds to the calendar Q2 of 2025.Consumer demand was pulled forward, with Q3 revenue expected at $89.6 billion, exceeding forecasts.Gross margin is projected at 45.8%, slightly below expectations.Gross margin for fiscal Q4 is anticipated to drop to 45%.The market is concerned about Apple lagging behind in the AI space.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookA neutral to slightly negative report.No major surprises, and no significant bearish catalysts.Current valuation is not at historical highs.Expected earnings volatility: ±4.2%, trading range between $203–$222.Trading StrategyDespite some negatives, the valuation is reasonable, and the stock is unlikely to break below the expec

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It’s only Monday, and the open interest (OI) for this week’s expiring options has already reached astonishing levels.There are three call options with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALLFor context, even during the June triple witching day, only four call options had OI exceeding 100,000 contracts.High OI can have different impacts depending on the timing:Early in the week (Monday–Wednesday): High OI creates a squeeze effect, pushing the stock price higher as it gravitates toward the higher strike prices. That’s why I believe NVIDIA has a chance to hit $185 this week.Later in the week (Thursday–Friday): The stock price tends to stabilize in the range with the lar

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon are all reporting earnings. Their expected results and price patterns may mirror Google’s: price increases but gap up followed by a sell-off. These companies are also likely to expand their investments in AI, similar to Google.With AI demand continuing to grow, NVIDIA has strong support underneath, making sell puts a relatively safe strategy. The same applies to AMD.For call options, institutions are selling $NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL, while hedging with $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL. It’s worth noting that the open interest at $177.5 is close to 100,000 contracts, suggesting there’s a good chance NVIDIA’s price will close near $177.

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with u！1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ TRADE PLAN 📈 📉 SPX bullish plan: SPX above 6400 SPX July 30 6460C T 6432,6469 SL 6369 📈SPX bearish plan: SPX under 6334 SPX July 30 6300P T 6300,6279 SL 6369 📉 SPX moved from 6281 to 6395 at the highs last week. If SPX can breakout above 6400 we can see another push towards 6485-6500 before a short term top forms. We have FOMC, Core PCE, and tech earnings this week. The only way the market starts to look more bearish is if SPX fails to hold 6300 this week. Calls can work above 6400Image2. $Robinhood(HOOD)$ Trade idea: HOOD August 1 110CTrigger: 105 ✅ Targets: 111, 115 🎯 Stop: No SL 🛑 Has been basing above 100 the pa

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.To write puts or not write puts on $PayPal(PYPL)$ for earnings this week. That is the optionselling question.- Expected move is ~7%- Lots of OI at the 70 put strike, possibly acting as a put wall- Will probs target a put strike in the 65-70 range, Aug 1 expiry- If we strangle the trade, it will be the 95 naked call strike, Aug 1 expiryImageImage2.WOW! $United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)$ back to covid lows heading into earnings this week. Not sure if we want to play this one or not. Would be looking at #Optionselling this trade:- Aug 1 expiry, 90 strike put- If we strangle this trade, it would be the 125 call strike, Aug 1 expiry.Image3.Am

In 2020, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ran for 5 consecutive weeks from July into August before we saw a 10% pullback.Currently in 2025, We're finishing up 5 consecutive green weeks leading into August.Will History repeat itself?If so SPX may retest a key support level at 6000 during August.Don't get me wrong....My favorite trades are to the upside. The market is designed to go UP.. BUT....As August approaches I will start to get more defensive especially if we see more weakness in $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ /Crypto. This is the leading indicator for risk assets.Stocks that led the move higher have started to consolidate so far, Next we have Mega-cap tech earning next week, tariff deadlines, FOMC, and Core PCE nex

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Institutions rolled a massive call spread worth over $20 million on SPY, indicating an expectation that SPY will reach $640–$650 by August 8.Opened long: $SPY 20250808 640.0 CALLOpened short: $SPY 20250808 650.0 CALLWhile it’s hard to predict August 8, the broader market is unlikely to pull back significantly before next week’s tech earnings reports on Thursday and Friday (August 1).After earnings, performance might mirror similar patterns seen in TSMC and Amazon—a gap-up at the open followed by a sell-off. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Friday’s closing range is $165–$175, with a more detailed expectation of $172.5–$175.For the week of August 1, volatility is expected to be similar to th