$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ What happens when options volume for the current week suddenly surges to triple witching levels in just a few days?On Wednesday, NVIDIA’s stock price rose 2%, and the open interest (OI) for the $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL expiring this week increased by 104,800 contracts, pushing its total OI to an astonishing 293,700 contracts!There are three call options expiring this week with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL: 293,700 contracts$NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL: 149,000 contracts$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL: 117,000 contractsTo put this into perspective, let’s compare it to the June 20 triple witching day:On June 20, there were four call strikes with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts: $NVDA 20250620 150.0 CALL, 145.0 CALL,

$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ The first downside target after the pullback is 155.Earnings were decent, but didn’t live up to the squeeze expectations set before the report, which is why the stock dropped.Before earnings, there were two large but opposing trades. One was bullish, targeting 182.5, set up as a butterfly spread with a very low cost—only about $400k.The other was bearish, targeting below 155, by buying the 155 put $AMD 20250822 155.0 PUT$  and selling the 140 put $AMD 20250822 140.0 PUT$ , which is still open. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It’ll be difficult for NVIDIA to br

As Q2 earnings season continues with the familiar theme of stocks gapping up and selling off post-earnings, the most reliable strategy this week remains sell calls after earnings.However, based on the current option flow, AMD, PLTR, and SMCI do not show significantly higher upside expectations compared to last week, so selling calls early may also be a viable approach. $Figma(FIG)$ Figma’s options begin trading on its third day post-IPO, with August 15 expirations worth monitoring. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Last week, institutions sold calls at $182.5 and $185 while hedging with call buys at $190 and $195.After Friday’s roll, this week’s sell call strikes remain $180 and $185:$AMD 20250808 180.0 CALL$AM

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The options open interest is showing a pattern this week of preparing for an upside move in the short term but hedging for possible downside in the future.There's been very aggressive opening of 182.5–190 call positions expiring this week, which looks a bit like a short squeeze. This could be in anticipation of a surprise beat in AMD's earnings, potentially causing NVDA's stock price to soar. However, all of this is predicated on the stock price holding above 180.From the perspective of large trades, though, the market doesn't seem to believe that NVIDIA will be able to stay above 180 in the coming weeks.For example, there was a large sell call order for the August 22 expiry at 175 strike:

The biggest news on Friday was the unexpected downward revision of U.S. nonfarm payroll data. The May and June figures were revised down by more than 200,000 jobs, leaving employment growth as a shadow of what was initially reported. Suddenly, it feels like the U.S. economy is on the verge of collapse, seemingly needing rate cuts to recover.The market has been itching for a pullback, and now it has found a reason to drop.Some bearish indicators are emerging, such as VIX call spreads with strikes ranging from 60 to 100. Whether these are bullish call spreads or bearish call spreads, such strike prices are highly unusual:$VIX 20251022 60.0 CALL$VIX 20251022 100.0 CALLAdditionally, a massive bearish put trade was opened on TSMC with September expirations:$TSM 20250905 240.0 PUT$TSM 20250905 2

Conclusion: As the title suggests, the market maker isn't greedy. They exited around $3.5, and the stock price has a chance of dropping below $2. There’s also a possibility of a second wave of manipulation by another market maker later.On Monday, $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ stock surged by 118%, with options trading volume skyrocketing 74 times to a total of 3.38 million contracts, making it the third most traded security after SPY and QQQ.The implied volatility of the $5 call options expiring this week once reached 737%, with an annualized yield of 1,492% from selling these contracts!The reason behind OPEN's rally is reportedly because the founder of EMJ Capital gave it a price target of $82, citing OPEN's business transformation.Frankly, t

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1.Majority of the gamma for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is at 6250 last day. Wouldn't be surprised to see us stay around this area (+/- 10 to 20 points) for today.Wanted to write a call credit spread to complete the 0DTE iron condor, but there isn't much premium at the gap fill level of 6330 or higher for a 10-wide spread. Don't really want to get caught in a gap fill scenario if something good happens in the market today. Probably unlikely, but the cushion just isn't there for our liking.Image2. $Strategy(MSTR)$ getting back into put-writing territory for us. Limped in with this trade.STO MSTR Aug 8 expiry 240 strike putImage3.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ It’s only Monday, and the open interest (OI) for this week’s expiring options has already reached astonishing levels.There are three call options with OI exceeding 100,000 contracts:$NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL$NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL$NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALLFor context, even during the June triple witching day, only four call options had OI exceeding 100,000 contracts.High OI can have different impacts depending on the timing:Early in the week (Monday–Wednesday): High OI creates a squeeze effect, pushing the stock price higher as it gravitates toward the higher strike prices. That’s why I believe NVIDIA has a chance to hit $185 this week.Later in the week (Thursday–Friday): The stock price tends to stabilize in the range with the lar

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, it’s either the short squeeze of the century or nothing happens.On Tuesday, a massive 200,000-lot bullish call spread was opened:Selling $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALLBuying $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALLAs a result, the open interest for $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL surged from 48,000 contracts on Monday to 146,000 contracts.Potential Outcome: If NVIDIA’s stock price breaks $177.5, there’s a high probability of a squeeze, potentially pushing the price directly to $185.Bearish Positions:No excessive bearish sentiment. Most put options are opened at the $170 strike.A notable longer-term bearish position is the $NVDA 20251219 146.0 PUT, with 7,398 contracts opened. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ For this

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ On Wednesday, I wasn’t feeling well and didn’t get to review the options data for new positions, but I had a hunch that Google’s earnings would be decent.Out of curiosity, I checked my phone, and to my surprise, someone opened a massive position the day before the earnings report: 60,000 contracts of the $GOOGL 20250919 210.0 CALL$ , with a total transaction value of over $23 million—executed as an on-exchange trade.Theoretically, this signals extremely bullish sentiment. However, I held back from going all in. While the earnings were unlikely to disappoint, I wasn’t convinced there would be a massiv

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ This week, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon are all reporting earnings. Their expected results and price patterns may mirror Google’s: price increases but gap up followed by a sell-off. These companies are also likely to expand their investments in AI, similar to Google.With AI demand continuing to grow, NVIDIA has strong support underneath, making sell puts a relatively safe strategy. The same applies to AMD.For call options, institutions are selling $NVDA 20250801 177.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 180.0 CALL, while hedging with $NVDA 20250801 182.5 CALL and $NVDA 20250801 185.0 CALL. It’s worth noting that the open interest at $177.5 is close to 100,000 contracts, suggesting there’s a good chance NVIDIA’s price will close near $177.

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Earnings season over the next two weeks may bring surprises.Current options activity resembles a collar strategy: sell call + buy put.Institutional Arbitrage Strategy:Selling calls at $175 and $177.5.Hedging by buying calls at $182.5 and $187.5.Above $190: Most bullish call options are being sold off.Bearish bets continue to anticipate a pullback, but there is no consensus among bears. The median target for a pullback is around $165, with most bets on the decline occurring this week or next. This aligns with what I mentioned last week: a spike after earnings, followed by a pullback. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ : Similar bearish bets are being placed, with deep out-of-the-money puts (e.g.

2025 Q3 Earnings Expectations $Apple(AAPL)$ Apple’s 2025 fiscal Q3 corresponds to the calendar Q2 of 2025.Consumer demand was pulled forward, with Q3 revenue expected at $89.6 billion, exceeding forecasts.Gross margin is projected at 45.8%, slightly below expectations.Gross margin for fiscal Q4 is anticipated to drop to 45%.The market is concerned about Apple lagging behind in the AI space.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookA neutral to slightly negative report.No major surprises, and no significant bearish catalysts.Current valuation is not at historical highs.Expected earnings volatility: ±4.2%, trading range between $203–$222.Trading StrategyDespite some negatives, the valuation is reasonable, and the stock is unlikely to break below the expec

2025 $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ Q2 Earnings ExpectationsKey Growth Driver: Data center GPU business.Microsoft’s Contribution: Microsoft has significantly increased capital expenditures, with its purchases accounting for approximately 8% of AMD’s total sales.PC Market: Performing better than expected, alongside continued growth in AMD’s server CPU market share.China Market: The MI308X GPU has been approved for re-export to China, expected to contribute approximately $300 million in Q3 and $500 million in Q4 to net profit.How to Evaluate the Earnings OutlookPositive Report: Strong growth drivers but no major surprises.No Significant Bearish Risks: Bullish factors are likely already priced into the stock.High Valuation: Current valuation remains el

Check out this momentum strategy with an 83% win rate—PLTR’s Q2 earnings were nothing short of spectacular: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ A record-breaking report in the company’s history;Revenue accelerating for the 8th consecutive quarter;Combined revenue growth rate and profit margin far exceeding 80%;Q3 revenue growth guidance as high as 50%;Full-year growth expectation for the key US commercial segment raised from 68% to “at least 85%”;How to interpret these expectations:Compared to peers, Palantir’s performance is extremely rare;Scored a high 94 on the “Rule of 40” (revenue growth % + EBITDA margin %);Much of the future positive outlook has already been priced in;Valuation is high, but its scarcity value means the market continues to ch