$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSMC's (TSM) earnings report saw the stock price spike and then pull back. I believe the main issue is similar to what was mentioned yesterday: Q3 is expected to grow 4% quarter-over-quarter, but the numbers aren’t particularly enticing. Additionally, the stock had already hit new highs prior to the report. Even though management expressed strong optimism about AI prospects, the stock price gains remained within the forecast range.This quarter’s earnings reports may exhibit a similar pattern across the board: Q2 significantly overdraws full-year expectations, leading to high openings followed by sell-offs after the disclosure.It is worth paying attention to data center-related stocks. TSMC management indica

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSMC's (TSM) earnings report is scheduled for Thursday, with mixed expectations:Earnings Positives: Strong Q2 data, with an 11% quarter-over-quarter growth; full-year revenue guidance may be raised.Potential Earnings Negatives: Average performance expected for Q3 and Q4, with Q3 growth projected at 3-6% QoQ and a conservative outlook for Q4 at -6%.Overall, the positives seem to have been priced in, such as the potential upward revision of full-year revenue guidance, while the earnings report may confirm the negative expectations.The anticipated volatility for this earnings report is 4.6%, with a trading range of $224–246.Two main strategies are being adopted for this earnings report:Simple bullish strategy:

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Institutions continued to sell call options at 167.5 and 170 this week. Currently, there are 140,000 open interest contracts for the 170 call, and any strike with more than 100,000 open interest warrants attention.The largest open interest for puts expiring this week is at 165, 162.5, and 160 strikes. Coupled with additional 160 put positions across other expirations, it’s clear that the bears are hoping for NVIDIA to pull back to 160 this week.However, the 160 put isn’t strictly bearish. For example, the majority of the 160 puts expiring on August 15th and August 29th are sold positions, signaling that many traders believe NVIDIA will remain above 155 before the earnings report.On Monday’s open, NVIDIA briefly dipped to 161.7 befor

2025 Q2 Earnings ExpectationsTesla’s Q2 delivery numbers are projected to be 384,000 vehicles, up 14% quarter-over-quarter, far exceeding the earlier forecast of 2%.June sales were exceptionally strong, with monthly deliveries accounting for 47% of the entire quarter.The new U.S. tax law eliminating EV tax credits is set to take effect on September 30, potentially creating a Q3 pre-purchase rush.The new Model Y is expected to support sales growth in Q3 and Q4.A low-cost new vehicle may launch in Q4.Robotaxi operations have started, with fleet expansion expected to exceed 1,000 vehicles within the next 6–9 months.How to Evaluate Tesla's Earnings ExpectationsJune’s sales surge may not be sustainable, and the stock price has likely already priced in the good news.The anticipated pre-purchase

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The bullish trend is very strong, but bearish crash bets are starting again. Next week, it will either rise normally or experience a flash crash.Institutions are selling calls at 170 and hedging at 177.5. Bullish options are seeing a large number of new positions for the following weeks, presenting an optimistic landscape, though I can't say for sure.Bearish options are being opened for puts expiring on the 18th at strike prices of 140 and 141. Additionally, there's significant open interest for the halving level at 95, but this doesn't correspond to bearish positions on $SPY$.I lean toward normal trading next week, and my position is sell call 170 + sell put 160. If NVIDIA’s stock price breaks 168, I'll consider rolling the positio

Recently, a trader from the U.S., John Carter, gained attention for reportedly earning $18.2 million in a year using a repeatable trading strategy called "Squeeze." He applied it to high-profile stocks like Tesla, Amazon, and Netflix, and the results were impressive.This wasn’t luck or insider trading — it was a system built on discipline, timing, and risk management. So what exactly is the “Squeeze” strategy, and is it something everyday investors can adopt? Let’s break it down.1. Who Is John Carter?John Carter is a self-taught trader, not a Wall Street insider. He began with just $1,000 he saved from a part-time job. His first trade — a call option on Intel — made him $800 in a few weeks. That early success led him into the world of trading, but like many, he went through painful losses.

In 2020, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ran for 5 consecutive weeks from July into August before we saw a 10% pullback.Currently in 2025, We're finishing up 5 consecutive green weeks leading into August.Will History repeat itself?If so SPX may retest a key support level at 6000 during August.Don't get me wrong....My favorite trades are to the upside. The market is designed to go UP.. BUT....As August approaches I will start to get more defensive especially if we see more weakness in $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ /Crypto. This is the leading indicator for risk assets.Stocks that led the move higher have started to consolidate so far, Next we have Mega-cap tech earning next week, tariff deadlines, FOMC, and Core PCE nex

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ will definitely be one of the key beneficiaries of global IT spending flipping from on-premise to cloud over the coming years. And Google Cloud's TPU will be leading that charge. Stock price easily going above $200 and then some.Here's why ... read the 🧵 below ...1. Vertical Integration and Optimization for AI WorkloadsGOOGL, GOOG Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) are likely to gain more traction amid the explosive growth of AI data centers for several strategic, technical, and economic reasons.TPUs are custom-designed ASICs (Application-Specific Integrated Circuits) optimized for neural network workloads, especially deep learning models like transformers (e.g., BERT, PaLM

$Intel(INTC)$ On Tuesday, Intel ($INTC$) inexplicably surged by 7%, and a wealthy trader purchased over $7 million worth of long-dated call options. Specifically:$INTC 20260320 24.0 CALL$ : 17,800 contracts opened.This wasn’t the only bullish bet. There were also:$INTC 20251017 28.0 CALL$ : 9,125 contracts opened.A long-dated straddle: $INTC 20260320 20.0 PUT$  + $INTC 20260320 25.0 CALL$ .Based on the open interest, Intel's outlook seems positive. The bullish target is 25, wit

The U.S. Congress is advancing three major cryptocurrency bills that could impact the $2.8 trillion global crypto market. This marks the beginning of comprehensive regulation for the industry.What Changes Do the Bills Bring?Stablecoin RegulationStablecoins like USDC must hold full reserves, similar to bank deposits, and provide monthly public ledgers. Compliant companies will benefit from this regulation.Token ClassificationTokens like Bitcoin are classified as "commodities" regulated by the CFTC, while some tokens are deemed "securities" under SEC oversight. This clarity helps exchanges know which tokens can be legally traded.Ban on Government Digital Currencies (CBDCs)To address concerns about government-issued digital currencies enabling surveillance of all spending records, the legisla

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The market remains bullish, with NVIDIA's stock price expected to challenge 170. For now, I'll follow the bullish trend and take it one step at a time.Institutions are rolling their sell calls to next week at the 170 strike, hedging with 177.5.The $NVDA 20250808 160.0 CALL$  expiring August 8 hasn’t been closed, and the $NVDA 20250715 165.0 CALL$  expiring July 15 is seeing mostly buy-side activity, indicating the current trend could extend into next week.For now, selling puts is a viable strategy. Selling both this week’s and next week’s puts at the 160 strike is reasonable, but avoid using lev

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Tesla's upcoming earnings report is likely to be uneventful. The numbers are weak, with Q2 deliveries down about 14% year-over-year. Even with AI hype, it won’t translate into revenue or profits in the short term.A safe bearish approach is to sell calls. I sold next week’s 350 strike call:$TSLA 20250725 350.0 CALL$ .For those looking for a deeper bearish position without spending much, consider this zero-cost bearish strategy employed by a major bear. It avoids IV crush concerns and profits if Tesla’s stock drops below $310:Buy 1x $TSLA 20260116 400.0 CALLSell 1x $TSLA 20260116 300.0 CALLBuy 2x $TSLA 20260116 250.0 PUTThis bear is very crafty, executing trad

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Institutions rolled a massive call spread worth over $20 million on SPY, indicating an expectation that SPY will reach $640–$650 by August 8.Opened long: $SPY 20250808 640.0 CALLOpened short: $SPY 20250808 650.0 CALLWhile it’s hard to predict August 8, the broader market is unlikely to pull back significantly before next week’s tech earnings reports on Thursday and Friday (August 1).After earnings, performance might mirror similar patterns seen in TSMC and Amazon—a gap-up at the open followed by a sell-off. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Friday’s closing range is $165–$175, with a more detailed expectation of $172.5–$175.For the week of August 1, volatility is expected to be similar to th

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you!1. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ releases earnings after the closing bell Wednesday. Expected move is ~7%. Got the following positions heading into earnings. Here is our #Optionselling game plan for tomorrow.1. Hold the Aug 15 $285 naked puts.2. Hold the Aug 15 $300 cash-secured put (CSP), but am tempted to roll to the July 25 expiry $325 strike.3. Roll the Jan 16 2026 $300 CSP to the Aug 15 $355 strike (thus creating a synthetic long).4. Will hold one of the Jun 17 2027 $600 naked calls, but am debating what to do with the other three calls. Am leaning towards taking them off the table for tomorrow and then re-writing post-earnings.5. Hold the Jan 15 2027 $230 CSPs.280 is a demand zone

$Robinhood(HOOD)$ Due to a sudden rally, HOOD’s recent options daily trading volume exceeded 1 million contracts. After a closer look, it appears that institutions may have been involved in bullish positions: 16,600 contracts opened for the 2026 expiry 115 call, over 10,000 contracts for the 120 call, and 12,500 contracts for the 125 call.Upon further investigation, these bullish option positions were part of a roll trade. The 82 and 85 calls expiring this week ($HOOD 20250703 83.0 CALL$  and $HOOD 20250703 85.0 CALL$ ) were closed and rolled into the 2026 expiry 115, 120, and 125 calls (

2025 Q2 Earnings Expectations $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Gradually improving AI tools are significantly enhancing ad spend ROI.With tariff policy easing, e-commerce ad spending resumed growth in May and June.Meta’s Q2 revenue is projected to reach $45.5 billion, a 16.5% YoY increase, exceeding expectations.Operating profit is expected to hit $17.4 billion, also surpassing forecasts.The market is concerned about a potential sharp increase in 2026 capital expenditures.How to Evaluate META’s Earnings OutlookAI tool investments are paying off, and the core advertising business remains robust.The company made a massive investment in data centers during Q2, spending hundreds of billions, indicating strong confidence in mid-term revenue growth.While in